Nigeria: Government calls for dialogue left on voicemail

Date first published: 13/08/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; political instability; economic risks Risk development On 1 August protests under the moniker #EndBadGovernment erupted in Abuja, Lagos and other major urban centres throughout the country. Protests were initially scheduled to last from 1 August to 15 August but organisers shifted the end date […]
Ones to Watch, 12 August 2024

Americas: President Arce announces referenda to address Bolivia’s economic and political crises Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political stability; economic risks In Bolivia, on 6 August leftist President Luis Arce announced national referenda on removing fuel subsidies and on the constitutionality of presidential re-elections, in a move to address the country’s ongoing economic and […]
Serbia: Return of the Jadar project

Date first published: 06/08/2024 Key sectors: all; mining; automobile industry Key risks: civil unrest; frustration of process; business risks; supply chain disruption Risk development On 29 July thousands of people protested against Anglo-Australian mining firm Rio Tinto’s planned lithium mine in Jadar Valley in the towns of Sabac, Kraljevo, Arandjelovac and Ljig. This came after […]
Ones to Watch, 5 August 2024

Americas: Social organisations urge extension of expired government, ELN ceasefire in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: targeted attacks; violent clashes; violent crime; kidnapping In Colombia, on 4 August over 700 social organisations in the Humanitarian Coordinator association urged President Gustavo Petro’s government and the ELN guerrilla group to extend the bilateral ceasefire that expired on […]
Ones to Watch, 29 July 2024

Americas: Arrest of Sinaloa cartel leaders set to escalate violence in Mexico Sectors: all Key Risks: gang violence; organised crime violence In Mexico, on 28 July the US ambassador to the country stated that the 25 July arrest of Sinaloa cartel – one of the world’s most powerful narco trafficking organisations – leaders Ismael ‘El […]
Ones to Watch, 22 July 2024

Americas: Controversy and unrest likely ahead of 28 July presidential elections in Venezuela Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity; civil unrest; corruption; sanctions In Venezuela, on 28 July voters will head to the polls to choose between President Nicolas Maduro and the opposition coalition Unitary Platform (UP)’s presidential candidate, Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia. Maduro […]
Ones to Watch, 15 July 2024

Americas: Trump assassination attempt raises fears of increasing political violence in the US Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; electoral violence; political stability In the US, former president and Republican nominee Donald Trump was shot in the ear in an assassination attempt and one spectator was killed during a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. The assailant, […]
Ones to Watch, 8 July 2024

Americas: Heightened civil unrest risks amid planned fuel price hikes in Ecuador Sectors: all; transport Key Risks: traffic disruption; civil unrest; economic In Ecuador, on 4 July hundreds of workers, teachers and students protested in the capital Quito after the National Union of Educators, Unitary Workers Front and Federation of University Students of Ecuador called […]
Ones to Watch, 1 July 2024

Americas: Increased police presence following coup attempt in Bolivia Sectors: transport; all Key Risks: political stability; traffic disruption; civil unrest In Bolivia, on 26 June the army took control over Plaza Murillo square in the capital La Paz and forced entry into the presidential palace in an apparent coup attempt, led by General Juan Jose […]
Ones to Watch, 24 June 2024

Americas: Demonstrations announced against Sao Paulo Forum in Honduras on 27-28 June Sectors: all Key Risks: traffic disruptions; civil unrest In Honduras, on 19 June the National Anticorruption Movement non-governmental organisation announced that it would stage a protest against the Sao Paulo Forum, taking place in the capital Tegucigalpa on 27-28 June. The organisers stated […]
Ones to Watch, 17 June 2024

Americas: Bolivian Chamber of Heavy Transport calls for indefinite national strike Sectors: export-oriented; logistics; all Key Risks: business disruption; civil unrest In Bolivia, on 13 June the Bolivian Chamber of Heavy Transport called for an indefinite national strike from 17 June amid ongoing fuel and US dollar shortages in the country, which have sparked large […]
Ones to Watch, 10 June 2024

Americas: Security forces targeted in IED attacks in two Colombian departments Sectors: all Key Risks: organised crime; violent crime In Colombia, on 7 June security forces in Jamundi, Valle del Cauca department, and Popayan, Cauca department, were targeted in IED attacks. In Jamundi, a VBIED was detonated near a police station, while in Popayan, police […]