Ones to Watch, 19 December 2022
Americas: Fresh US sanctions to hamper government-opposition talks in Venezuela Sectors: all Key Risks: sanctions risk; political stability In Venezuela, on 16 December President Nicolas Maduro criticised the US Congress’ approval of a new sanctions law prohibiting US federal agencies from doing business with any company that supports Maduro’s government. Maduro described the new restrictions […]
Venezuela: Fewer sanctions, more dialogue?

Date first published: 8/12/2022 Key sectors: all; oil and gas Key risks: political stability; sanctions Risk development On 26 November the United States (US) further eased oil sanctions on Venezuela, allowing US oil firm Chevron to resume the production and exportation of Venezuelan oil and oil-related products for the first time since the sanctions […]
Ones to Watch, 12 December 2022
Americas: Peru’s President Boluarte announces bill for snap elections amid nationwide protests Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political violence; political stability In Peru, on 12 December President Dina Boluarte responded to nationwide protests demanding snap elections by announcing that she would present a bill to Congress to bring forward the general election from April […]
Qatar: A failed sportswashing operation?

Date first published: 01/12/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: regional stability; reputational risk Risk development The 2022 FIFA World Cup, the world’s most popular sporting event, kicked off in Qatar on 20 November surrounded by controversies. The working conditions of migrant workers, the country’s human rights record and the process to select the host […]
Ones to Watch, 5 December 2022
Americas: Court to deliver ruling in corruption case against Vice President Kirchner Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political violence In Argentina, on 6 December the court is expected to deliver its ruling in the corruption case against former president and current Vice President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK). The verdict will coincide with rising […]
Malaysia: Another chance at a stable government

Date first published: 24/11/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; policy continuity; economic risks Risk development Long-time opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim was sworn in as Prime Minister on 24 November ending a five-day political impasse that followed the 19 November general election which delivered Malaysia’s first ever hung parliament. Both Anwar and former […]
Ones to Watch, 28 November 2022
Americas: US eases sanctions as Venezuelan government begins fresh talks with the opposition Sectors: all; energy Key Risks: sanctions; business risks In Venezuela, on 26 November the US eased oil sanctions on the country to support the start of fresh Oslo-mediated talks between President Nicolas Maduro’s government and opposition representatives in Mexico’s capital Mexico City. […]
Haiti: Entrenched gang power

Date first published: 22/11/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; violent unrest; deadly clashes; crime; kidnap and ransom Risk development On 6 November influential gang leader Jimmy ‘Barbecue’ Cherizier announced that the almost two-months long blockade at the Varreux fuel port terminal in the capital Port-au-Prince would be lifted. The move allowed fuel […]
Ones to Watch, 21 November 2022
Americas: Colombian government to resume formal peace talks with the ELN in Venezuela Sectors: all Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency; violent clashes; violent crime; targeted attacks; kidnapping In Colombia, formal peace talks between the government and the leftist ELN guerrilla group are scheduled to resume on 21 November in Venezuela’s capital Caracas. On 17 November President […]
Pakistan: Attempted assassination of Imran Khan

Date first published: 15/11/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; political violence Risk development On 3 November former prime minister and chairman of the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) Imran Khan was shot in an assassination attempt in Wazirabad, Punjab province. Reports indicate that a gunman shot at Khan’s container-mounted-truck six times, with the former […]
Ones to Watch, 14 November
Americas: Democrats perform better than expected, retain Senate in US midterm elections Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; political stability In the US, the Democrats performed better than expected in the midterm elections as they retained control of the Senate, even winning a seat in Pennsylvania previously held by Republicans. The Republicans look likely to […]
Brazil: Lula

Date first published: 08/11/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: policy continuity; regulatory uncertainty; political instability; political violence; civil unrest Risk development Leftist former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva narrowly won the 30 October presidential runoff – arguably the most polarised election in Brazil’s history. The historic comeback is one of several political shifts […]