Date first published: 07/07/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: internal conflict; civil unrest; political stability Risk development On 1 July pro-Beijing hardliner John Lee succeeded Carrie Lam as the new Chief Executive of Hong Kong. The former security chief voiced his ‘absolute confidence’ that there would not be a repeat of the 2019 civil […]
Americas: Cuba’s government-led crackdown on dissent persists a year after 11J protests Sectors: all Key Risks: government-led crackdown; arbitrary arrests; summary trials; sanctions In Cuba, the government-led crackdown on dissent shows no signs of abating a year after unprecedented anti-government protests that erupted on 11 July 2021. President Miguel Diaz-Canel’s administration controversially arrested hundreds of […]
Date first published: 30/06/2022 Key sectors: all; oil and gas; mining Key risks: policy continuity; political stability; economic and business risks; governability Risk development Former M-19 guerrilla Gustavo Petro will become the country’s first leftist president on 7 August. On 19 June he won a tight presidential runoff – 50.4 per cent to 47.3 […]
Americas: Argentina’s political, economic crises to deepen as economy minister resigns Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy continuity; governability; sovereign default In Argentina, ongoing political, economic and financial crises are set to deepen following the surprise resignation of Martin Guzman as economy minister on 2 July. Guzman’s decision risks further destabilising President Alberto Fernandez’s […]
Date first published: 23/06/2022 Key sectors: all; mining Key risks: internal conflict; external conflict; bilateral relations Risk development On 17 June Kinshasa closed its border with Rwanda after Rwandan border guards killed a Congolese soldier who opened fire on police officers 25 km inside Rwandan territory. A week prior on 10 June, the two countries […]
Americas: Truckers and farmers set to strike across Peru over rising fuel, fertiliser prices Sectors: all; cargo transport Key Risks: supply chain disruption; civil unrest; strikes In Peru, truckers and farmers are set to strike across the country starting on 27 June to protest rising fuel and fertiliser prices. The disruptive measure was agreed on […]
Date first published: 16/06/2022 Key sectors: all; oil and gas Key risks: political stability; sanctions Risk development On 10 June state-owned oil company PDVSA stated that the Greek-flagged Aframax Minerva Zoe oil tanker chartered by Italian oil firm Eni had arrived in Venezuelan waters to carry 650,000 barrels of diluted crude oil bound for […]
Americas: Disruptive anti-government protests enter second week across Ecuador Sectors: all; oil sector; retail; cargo transport Key Risks: business interruption; disruptive civil unrest; vandalism; sabotage In Ecuador, disruptive anti-government protests are expected to continue across the country over the coming week. Hundreds of indigenous protesters arrived in the capital Quito on 19 June defying a […]
Date first published: 14/06/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: leadership change; populist policy; trade disputes Risk development On 6 June Prime Minister (PM) Boris Johnson faced a vote of confidence from members of his own Conservative Party. Johnson managed to survive but won the support of only 211 MPs – 59 per cent of […]
Americas: Petro and Hernandez to face off on Colombia’s 19 June presidential runoff Sectors: all; extractives sector Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political stability; business and economic risks In Colombia, leftist Senator and former guerrilla Gustavo Petro and businessman Rodolfo Hernandez will face off in a highly uncertain presidential runoff on 19 June. Recent polls suggest […]
Date first published: 07/06/2022 Key sectors: healthcare Key risks: pandemics Risk Development In early May 2022, UK authorities confirmed the first registered case of monkeypox – a viral disease with some similarities to smallpox. Over the next month cases were reported across Europe, as well as in the Americas, North Africa and Australia. By 4 June a total […]
Americas: US sanctions on Venezuelan oil set to ease, pressure for political dialogue to increase Sectors: all; oil sector Key Risks: sanctions; business risks In Venezuela, pressure for the resumption of talks between President Nicolas Maduro’s government and the US-backed opposition is set to increase as the US appears ready to partially ease sanctions on […]
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