Date first published: 31/03/2022 Key sectors: all; infrastructure Key risks: internal conflict; protests; business risks Risk development At least ten separatist attacks were recorded in Papua province in the month of March, including the killing of eight civilian technicians during an attack on the Telkomsel tower in Beoga, Puncak district on 2 March. These […]
Americas: Risk of disruptive, violent unrest remains high in Peru despite five-day truce Sectors: all; cargo transport, agriculture Key Risks: business and economic risks; supply chain disruption; civil unrest In Peru, the risk of disruptive, violent unrest will remain high over the coming days despite a five-day truce in place until 7 April, agreed by […]
Date first published: 29/03/2022 Key sectors: oil and gas; all Key risks: political violence; war on land; business disruption; sanctions Risk development On 16 March the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) – comprised of Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates – invited Yemen’s Iran-backed Huthi militia to peace talks scheduled […]
Americas: Centrist candidates to face off in Costa Rica’s tight 3 April presidential runoff Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; governability In Costa Rica, former centrist president Jose Maria Figueres of the National Liberation Party (PLN) and former finance minister Rodrigo Chaves will face off in a tight presidential runoff on 3 April. […]
Date first published: 22/03/2022 Key sectors: all; defence Key risks: all; war on land Risk development On 27 February Germany’s Chancellor Olaf Scholz gave a special address to the Bundestag in which he described Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as a ‘Zeitenwende’ or turning point in the history of the European continent. He proceeded to […]
Americas: Canada’s CP Rail halts operations amid strike, supply chain disruption looms Sectors: all; rail transport; agriculture; manufacturing Key Risks: business and economic risks; supply chain disruption; civil unrest In Canada, on 20 March Canadian Pacific Railway (CP) halted operations and locked out employees after talks with the Teamsters Canada Rail Conference (TCRC) union failed […]
Date first published: 15/03/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: war-on-land Risk development On 10 March Israeli Foreign Minister Yair Lapid met with Jordanian King Abdullah II in Amman in an effort to calm tensions in Jerusalem and across the West Bank amid an uptick in violent clashes and ahead of upcoming religious celebrations. Why […]
Americas: Colombia’s presidential primary and legislative elections signal likely shift to the left Sectors: all Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political stability; business and economic risks In Colombia, leftist Senator and former guerrilla Gustavo Petro overwhelmingly won the primary vote of the left-wing Historic Pact coalition, strengthening the possibility of a historic shift to the left […]
Date first published: 08/03/22 Key sectors: all Key risks: economic risks; sanctions Risk development 13 days into the conflict, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has put Chinese President Xi Jinping in an awkward position amid strong ties with both countries, while posing a real danger to China as a whole. What does the conflict mean for […]
Americas: Chile’s far-left Gabriel Boric takes office on 11 March, orderly transition expected Sectors: all Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political stability; business risks; civil unrest In Chile, an orderly transition of power is expected on 11 March when far-left President-elect Gabriel Boric is set to take office. While the stock and currency markets plunged following […]
Date first published: 01/03/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: interstate conflict Risk Development At least one person was killed and 23 people were injured during the most recent clashes between Tajik and Kyrgyz citizens over the two countries’ contested border. While authorities managed to establish a ceasefire and the area has been calm since […]
Americas: Shareholders approve privatisation of Brazil’s Eletrobras, process still at risk Sectors: power; electricity Key Risks: business risks; legal challenges; asset sale delays; policy uncertainty In Brazil, on 22 February the shareholders of state-owned power utility Eletrobras reportedly approved the terms for the firm’s privatisation, another key milestone for the long-delayed process. The news came […]