Ones to Watch: 19 December 2016
Americas: protests likely to continue as president delays currency withdrawal Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest Police in Venezuela arrested more than 300 demonstrators following protests in several cities over President Nicolas Maduro’s decision to withdraw the 100 bolivar note from circulation. Maduro blamed the crisis on international sabotage after the planes carrying the new […]
Ones to Watch: 12 December 2016
Americas: Temer faces crucial Senate vote amid increased corruption-fallout risk Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; violent civil unrest; strikes In Brazil, the Senate is expected to hold the final vote on President Michel Temer’s proposed constitutional amendment to cap public spending on 13 December. Temer’s controversial fiscal austerity plan has recently fuelled […]
Ones to Watch: 5 December 2016
Americas: FARC resume disarmament and demobilisation process Sectors: all Key Risks: insurgency; terrorism; political stability In Colombia, the FARC resumed their disarmament and demobilisation process on 1 December following the Congress’ ratification of the 12 November revised final peace deal reached between the FARC and the government. The accord’s implementation will not be without challenges. […]
Ones to Watch: 14 November 2016
Americas: Colombia reaches revised final peace deal with the FARC Sectors: all Key Risks: insurgency; terrorism; political stability In Colombia, the coming weeks will be crucial in securing the 12 November revised final peace deal reached between the government and the FARC. The accord came six weeks after the rejection of an earlier agreement in […]
Ones to Watch: 7 November 2016
Americas: increased risk of unrest as US heads to the polls Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; electoral violence In the United States, a particularly polarising campaign in the run up to the 8 November general elections underscores the potential for localised protests, although violent incidents are highly unlikely to be widespread. The vast majority […]
Ones to Watch: 17 October 2016
Americas: Peru continues to face mining-related violent unrest Sectors: mining, energy Key Risks: civil unrest, business interruption In Peru, further violent unrest against China’s MMG Las Bambas copper mine in the south-central Apurimac region cannot be ruled out. On 14 October a protester was killed and several others were injured as demonstrations against the mine […]
Ones to Watch: 10 October 2016
Americas: Venezuelan opposition to take to the streets Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political instability In Venezuela, the MUD opposition coalition called on Venezuelans to take to the streets across the country on 12 October to demand that electoral authorities speed-up the recall referendum process against President Nicolas Maduro. The second phase of the […]
Ones to Watch: 3 October 2016
Americas: uncertainty grows as Colombians reject FARC peace deal Sectors: all Key Risks: insurgency; terrorism; political instability In Colombia, the coming weeks will be crucial to lower the levels of uncertainty sparked after Colombians unexpectedly rejected the final peace deal signed between the government and the FARC in a national referendum on 2 October. With a […]
Ones to Watch: 26 September 2016
Americas: crucial week for government-FARC final peace deal In Colombia, the coming week will be crucial in securing a final peace agreement between the government and the FARC. On 26 September both parties plan to formally sign the final deal in Cartagena in a ceremony that is expected to pass peacefully, although rallies by those […]
Ones to Watch: 19 September 2016
Americas: Mexico City to face unrest during students’ disappearance second anniversary In Mexico, demonstrations have been scheduled for 26 September in the capital Mexico City to mark the second anniversary of the controversial disappearance of 43 students in Iguala, Guerrero state. Associated unrest could potentially occur in other urban centres across Mexico. President Enrique Pena […]
Ones to Watch: 12 September 2016
Americas: Colombia’s FARC to ratify final peace deal In Colombia, the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) plan to hold their X National Guerrilla Conference between 17 and 23 September to ratify the final peace agreement with the government. The conference is expected to take place in San Vicente del Caguan in the southern Caqueta […]
Ones to Watch: 5 September 2016
Americas: tension in Venezuela to continue to increase In Venezuela, the opposition has called for further demonstrations to take place in the capital Caracas and across the country’s main urban centres on 7 and 14 September to demand a recall referendum against President Nicolas Maduro take place in 2016. Pro-government rallies are also planned for […]