Ones to Watch
Americas: Government and dissident former FARC rebel faction to open peace talks in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: targeted attacks; violent clashes; violent crime; kidnapping In Colombia, on 9 July President Gustavo Petro’s government and the Estado Mayor Central (EMC) dissident former FARC rebel group agreed to open peace talks, though an official start date […]
Americas: Protests likely as Brazil’s federal electoral court bans Bolsonaro from office until 2030 Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest In Brazil, on 30 June five out of seven federal electoral court (TSE) justices ruled that far-right former president Jair Bolsonaro abused his power and misused the media in the October 2022 election – which […]
Americas: Government declares overnight curfews to tackle growing gang violence in Honduras Sectors: all Key Risks: gang-related violence; organised crime; violent crime In Honduras, on 25 June President Xiomara Castro’s government declared an overnight curfew in the cities of Choloma and San Pedro Sula, Cortes department, after at least 24 people were killed in separate […]
Americas: Heightened risk of social unrest ahead of 25 June general elections in Guatemala Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political violence; electoral fraud In Guatemala, on 25 June citizens will go to the polls to elect the next president and new members of congress amid record low public trust in the country’s institutions. Only […]
Americas: Trinidad and Tobago looking to restart idle LNG train in 2027 to boost output, exports Sectors: oil and gas Key Risks: business risk In Trinidad and Tobago, on 8 June reports emerged indicating that the government plans to restart an idled liquefied natural gas (LNG) train – that was forced to shut down in […]
Americas: Government and ELN guerrilla to conclude third round of peace talks in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency; targeted attacks; violent clashes; violent crime; kidnapping In Colombia, on 8 June the government and the leftist ELN guerrilla group are set to conclude the ongoing third round of peace talks – which began on […]
Americas: Government rules out cash compensation after seizing private firm’s railway in Mexico Sectors: transport; all Key Risks: business risk; confiscation; frustration of process In Mexico, on 24 May leftist President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) stated that government compensation to Grupo Mexico would not include cash after his government “temporarily” seized part of the […]
Americas: Ecuador’s President Lasso dissolves National Assembly; political risks on the rise Sectors: all Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political instability In Ecuador, on 17 May conservative President Guillermo Lasso issued a decree dissolving the unicameral National Assembly amid impeachment proceedings against him for alleged embezzlement in connection with a contract at state-owned oil transportation company […]
Americas: Tension over new asylum rules in US rises following lifting of Title 42 restrictions Sectors: all Key Risks: social unrest; policy uncertainty In the United States (US), on 11 May Title 42 regulations were lifted and new restrictions were implemented amid efforts to prevent migrants from crossing illegally at its southern border with Mexico. […]
Americas: Far-right, centre-right parties win vote to lead Chile’s constitutional rewrite Sectors: all Key Risks: policy and regulatory uncertainty; political instability In Chile, far-right and centre-right parties will lead the Constitutional Council which will draft the country’s new constitution – scheduled to be put to referendum on 17 December. On 7 May Chileans voted to […]
Americas: US to allow sale of Venezuela’s US-based refiner Citgo to settle creditor claims Sectors: all; energy; mining Key Risks: sanctions; business risks In the US, on 1 May reports emerged indicating that the Justice Department had decided to no longer block the court-ordered sale of PDV Holding’s shares. PDV Holding is the US-based subsidiary […]
Americas: Paraguay’s 30 April general elections to determine future of ties with Taipei Sectors: all Key Risks: policy shifts; political instability In Paraguay, general elections will be held on 30 April ending a tight election race that has been in the spotlight due to opposing views about whether to maintain diplomatic relations with Taiwan. The […]
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