Ones to Watch
Americas: Court to deliver ruling in corruption case against Vice President Kirchner Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political violence In Argentina, on 6 December the court is expected to deliver its ruling in the corruption case against former president and current Vice President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK). The verdict will coincide with rising […]
Americas: US eases sanctions as Venezuelan government begins fresh talks with the opposition Sectors: all; energy Key Risks: sanctions; business risks In Venezuela, on 26 November the US eased oil sanctions on the country to support the start of fresh Oslo-mediated talks between President Nicolas Maduro’s government and opposition representatives in Mexico’s capital Mexico City. […]
Americas: Colombian government to resume formal peace talks with the ELN in Venezuela Sectors: all Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency; violent clashes; violent crime; targeted attacks; kidnapping In Colombia, formal peace talks between the government and the leftist ELN guerrilla group are scheduled to resume on 21 November in Venezuela’s capital Caracas. On 17 November President […]
Americas: Democrats perform better than expected, retain Senate in US midterm elections Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; political stability In the US, the Democrats performed better than expected in the midterm elections as they retained control of the Senate, even winning a seat in Pennsylvania previously held by Republicans. The Republicans look likely to […]
Americas: Violent power struggle between government and criminal gangs to continue in Haiti Sectors: fuel distribution; all Key Risks: violent clashes; attacks; looting; supply chain disruption In Haiti, the violent power struggle between the government and criminal gangs is set to continue. On 6 November Jimmy ‘Barbecue’ Cherizier, the leader of the G9 coalition of […]
Americas: Opposition-led strike set to continue in Bolivia’s Santa Cruz department Sectors: agriculture; farming; cargo; transport Key Risks: disruptive civil unrest; road blockades; violent clashes; export restrictions In Bolivia, protests featuring road blockades are expected to continue across Santa Cruz department as an opposition-led strike enters its second week. On 30 October local media reported […]
Americas: Brazil’s presidential runoff on track to become the most polarised in country’s history Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; regulatory uncertainty; political instability; political violence; civil unrest In Brazil, the presidential runoff scheduled for 30 October is on track to become the most polarised in the country’s history. Although former leftist president Luiz Inacio […]
Americas: Mapuche-related violence set to continue to increase in southern Argentina Sectors: all; tourism; construction; private property Key Risks: arson attacks; land occupations; disruptive, violent unrest; political violence In Argentina, indigenous Mapuche-related violence is on the upward trend. On 14 October at least two hooded, armed assailants held a watchman at gunpoint and burnt heavy […]
Americas: Colombian government and ELN guerrillas to resume formal peace talks in November Sectors: all; oil and gas; electricity Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency; targeted attacks; kidnapping In Colombia, on 4 October President Gustavo Petro’s government and the leftist ELN guerrillas announced that formal peace talks between the two parties would resume in November. Norway, Venezuela […]
Americas: Protests against persistent blackouts set to continue across Cuba Sectors: all; electricity Key Risks: civil unrest; arbitrary arrests; unrest-related disruption; government-led crackdown In Cuba, protests against persistent blackouts are expected to continue in the capital Havana and elsewhere across the island. Demonstrations – banned under the Communist Party of Cuba’s (PCC) one-party regime – […]
Americas: Brazil’s general elections likely to result in Bolsonaro-Lula face-off on 30 October Sectors: all Key Risks: policy uncertainty and continuity; political violence and instability; business risks In Brazil, general elections scheduled for 2 October are expected to lead to a face-off between former leftist president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and far-right President Jair […]
Americas: Violent protests over fuel price hikes set to continue in Haiti Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; looting; vandalism; supply chain disruption In Haiti, violent protests over recent fuel price hikes, rampant gang-related violence and other socio-economic grievances are set to continue in the capital Port-au-Prince and other major cities. On 18 September Prime […]
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