Ones to Watch
Americas: Honduras’s opposition to challenge ruling PNH’s re-election in highly contested vote Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; civil unrest; political violence In Honduras, Xiomara Castro from the main leftist opposition Libre party will face Tegucigalpa mayor Nasry Asfura from the ruling centre-right National Party (PNH) and 12 other presidential hopefuls in the […]
Americas: Chile’s highly uncertain general elections likely to lead to presidential runoff Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; governability; civil unrest In Chile, highly uncertain general elections scheduled for 21 November are expected to lead to a 19 December presidential runoff potentially between far-right former congressman Antonio Kast and leftist lawyer Gabriel Boric. […]
Americas: Argentina’s ruling FdT coalition to face heavy losses in 14 November midterm elections Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy continuity; governability; civil unrest In Argentina, the ruling Frente de Todos (FdT) leftist coalition is expected to face heavy losses in the crucial 14 November midterm legislative elections. Recent polls suggest that the main opposition Juntos por […]
Americas: Nicaragua’s President Ortega to secure controversial re-election on 7 November Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; arbitrary detentions; crackdown on political opposition In Nicaragua, leftist President Daniel Ortega is expected to secure a fourth consecutive presidential term in the highly controversial 7 November general elections. The vote is set to be neither free nor fair […]
Americas: Indigenous-led protests to put pressure on Ecuador’s government Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; civil unrest; business disruption In Ecuador, the powerful Confederation of Indigenous Nationalities of Ecuador (CONAIE) plans to go ahead with nationwide demonstrations scheduled for 26 October to protest against right-wing President Guillermo Lasso’s government. Social movements, trade unions, teachers and other groups plan […]
Americas: Chile’s protest movement reaches two-year anniversary amid persistent risk of unrest Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; protest-related violence; political instability In Chile, on 18 October nationwide demonstrations and related disruption are expected to mark the two-year anniversary of the anti-government protest movement that erupted in October 2019. Although the intensity of the protests has significantly […]
Americas: Ecuador’s Lasso, Chile’s Pinera to face pressure over the ‘Pandora Papers’ leak Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; corruption; civil unrest Ecuador’s conservative President Guillermo Lasso and Chile’s right-wing President Sebastian Pinera are set to face growing pressure over their alleged implication in tax violations following the recent ‘Pandora Papers’ leak. On 10 October Ecuador’s National Assembly voted […]
Americas: Paraguay’s ruling Colorado party seeks to consolidate power in local elections Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy continuity; civil unrest In Paraguay, the ruling centre-right Colorado Party will seek to consolidate its power in the upcoming 10 October midterm local elections. The vote, postponed from November 2020 due to COVID-19, will be tightly […]
Americas: Talks between Venezuela’s Maduro and opposition continue with delays in Mexico City Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; economic risks; sanctions; protests In Venezuela, negotiations between President Nicolas Maduro’s government and the opposition resumed on 26 September after a two-day delay caused by the late arrival of Maduro’s delegation in Mexico City. The latest […]
Americas: Dismissal of attorney general, justice minister plunge Haiti into another crisis Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; governability; violent unrest In Haiti, instability risks will remain very high after the country plunged into yet another political crisis. On 15 September interim prime minister Henry replaced Justice Minister Rockfeller Vincent with Interior Minister Liszt Quitel, […]
Americas: Trudeau’s Liberal Party risks possible defeat in Canada’s 20 September snap elections Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy continuity; civil unrest In Canada, the main opposition Conservative Party could potentially challenge Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s efforts to secure re-election in the 20 September snap federal elections. Trudeau had counted on his government’s COVID-19 […]
Americas: Argentina’s ruling FdT coalition to face first major electoral test in midterm primaries Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy continuity; civil unrest In Argentina, the ruling Frente de Todos (FdT) leftist coalition will face its first major electoral test in the upcoming 12 September midterm primaries, given that primary elections are considered a […]
To download this report, please enter your details below.