Ones to Watch
Americas: further protests against the ‘gasolinazo’ expected across Mexico Sectors: oil and gas; commercial; cargo transport Key Risks: looting; violent civil unrest; disruptive blockades In Mexico, further violent unrest over the controversial 14-20 per cent hike in gasoline and fuel prices effective since 1 January should be expected over the coming days. Protests against […]
Americas: protests likely to continue as president delays currency withdrawal Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest Police in Venezuela arrested more than 300 demonstrators following protests in several cities over President Nicolas Maduro’s decision to withdraw the 100 bolivar note from circulation. Maduro blamed the crisis on international sabotage after the planes carrying the new […]
Americas: Temer faces crucial Senate vote amid increased corruption-fallout risk Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; violent civil unrest; strikes In Brazil, the Senate is expected to hold the final vote on President Michel Temer’s proposed constitutional amendment to cap public spending on 13 December. Temer’s controversial fiscal austerity plan has recently fuelled […]
Americas: FARC resume disarmament and demobilisation process Sectors: all Key Risks: insurgency; terrorism; political stability In Colombia, the FARC resumed their disarmament and demobilisation process on 1 December following the Congress’ ratification of the 12 November revised final peace deal reached between the FARC and the government. The accord’s implementation will not be without challenges. […]
Americas: Cuba’s revolutionary leader dies Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; travel and road disruption In Cuba, the coming week will be marked by massive commemoration events following the death of the leader of the island’s socialist revolution Fidel Castro on 25 November. A nine-day mourning period began on 26 November. Thousands are expected at […]
Americas: Austerity measures to continue to fuel unrest in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: violent civil unrest; strikes; political instability In Brazil, further demonstrations to protest against a proposed constitutional amendment to cap public spending should be expected across the country’s main urban centres, particularly in the capital Brasilia, Rio de Janeiro and Sao Paulo. […]
Americas: Colombia reaches revised final peace deal with the FARC Sectors: all Key Risks: insurgency; terrorism; political stability In Colombia, the coming weeks will be crucial in securing the 12 November revised final peace deal reached between the government and the FARC. The accord came six weeks after the rejection of an earlier agreement in […]
Americas: increased risk of unrest as US heads to the polls Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; electoral violence In the United States, a particularly polarising campaign in the run up to the 8 November general elections underscores the potential for localised protests, although violent incidents are highly unlikely to be widespread. The vast majority […]
Americas: PDVSA’s woes continue Sectors: hydrocarbon Key Risks: non-payment; foreign exchange shortage; political instability; civil unrest US federal prosecutors are preparing to charge several individuals and confiscate their property over the alleged looting of Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA. Those investigated are alleged to have taken bribes from third parties to award inflated contracts through […]
Americas: Tension in Venezuela scales-up Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; social unrest; political violence In Venezuela, political and social tensions are set to increase over the coming week with a potential for associated violent unrest across the country’s main urban centres. The opposition MUD coalition called on Venezuelans to peacefully take to the […]
Americas: Peru continues to face mining-related violent unrest Sectors: mining, energy Key Risks: civil unrest, business interruption In Peru, further violent unrest against China’s MMG Las Bambas copper mine in the south-central Apurimac region cannot be ruled out. On 14 October a protester was killed and several others were injured as demonstrations against the mine […]
Americas: Venezuelan opposition to take to the streets Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political instability In Venezuela, the MUD opposition coalition called on Venezuelans to take to the streets across the country on 12 October to demand that electoral authorities speed-up the recall referendum process against President Nicolas Maduro. The second phase of the […]
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