Date first published: 31/10/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; civil unrest; geopolitical tensions; corruption Risk development On 27 October the ruling Georgian Dream (GD) party won the 26 October general elections with 54 per cent of support. Election observers reported widespread irregularities, including vote buying, ballot stuffing and intimidation. Four opposition parties passed […]
Americas: US presidential election too close to call Sectors: all Key Risks: protests, civil unrest In the United States (US), on 5 November voters will elect the next president. Polls suggest that the race between Democratic candidate Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican nominee Donald Trump is too close to call. Harris appears to have […]
Date first published: 29/10/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political impasse; governability; policy uncertainty; corruption Risk development On 20 October former defence minister Prabowo Subianto was inaugurated as Indonesia’s eighth president and its first new president in ten years. Subianto took over from President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo and on 21 October officially swore in one of […]
Americas: Continuing blockades likely in Bolivia amid Morales assassination attempt Sectors: all Key Risks: traffic disruptions; civil unrest In Bolivia, on 27 October former president Evo Morales accused President Luis Arce’s government of an attempted assassination, alleging that his vehicle was shot at in an ambush by two vehicles near El Alto, La Paz department. […]
Date first published: 22/10/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; civil unrest Risk outlook On 20 October Moldovans voted to elect a new president and decide whether the country should enshrine in its constitution the goal of joining the European Union (EU). While President Maia Sandu won the presidential election with approximately 42 per cent […]
Americas: Uruguay gears for general elections on 27 October Sectors: all Key Risks: political continuity; traffic disruption In Uruguay, on 27 October voters will head to the polls to elect the successor to President Luis Lacalle Pou and a new parliament and also vote on two plebiscites – to potentially reform the country’s pension regime […]
Date first published: 16/10/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: energy insecurity; environmental damage; geopolitical interests Risk development On 6 October the Central Election Commission announced that citizens overwhelmingly approved the construction of the country’s first nuclear power plant since 1995, with 71 per cent voting in favour. The plant would be built in the village of Ulken […]
Americas: At least 23 arrested, several injured in nationwide transportation sector strike in Peru Sectors: all; transport sector Key Risks: civil unrest; traffic disruption In Peru, on 11 October at least 23 people were arrested and several others were injured in the transportation sector strike in Lima, Lima region, and Callao, Callao region. Protesters demanded […]
Date first published: 08/10/2024 Key sectors: mining Key risks: political instability; economic risks; frustration of process Risk development On 28 September four senior Malian employees at Barrick Gold were arrested over alleged financial crimes. The arrests came amid tensions between Barrick Gold and Bamako over the government’s stake in the Loulo-Gountako mining complex, Kayes region. […]
Americas: Heightened security, flare-ups of gang violence likely in Haiti Sectors: all Key Risks: gang-related violence; violent crime In Haiti, on 3 October 70 people were killed and an unidentified number were injured in a shooting attack by Gran Grif gang members who burned homes and vehicles in Pont-Sonde, Artibonite department – forcing 6,270 to […]
Date first published: 26/09/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: war-on-land; regional escalation; geopolitical tensions Risk development On 10 September Washington accused Tehran of supplying Moscow with ballistic missiles, stating that Russia had received the deliveries and would likely deploy them in its ongoing invasion of Ukraine within weeks. In response, Washington imposed sanctions on nine Russian-flagged vessels […]
Americas: Protests likely for President-elect Sheinbaum’s inauguration ceremony in Mexico Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; traffic disruption In Mexico, on 1 October, teachers affiliated with the National Coordinator of Education Workers (CNTE), the Teaching School students and judicial workers will likely hold planned demonstrations during President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum’s inauguration in the capital Mexico City. […]
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