Date first published: 23/06/2022 Key sectors: all; mining Key risks: internal conflict; external conflict; bilateral relations Risk development On 17 June Kinshasa closed its border with Rwanda after Rwandan border guards killed a Congolese soldier who opened fire on police officers 25 km inside Rwandan territory. A week prior on 10 June, the two countries […]
Americas: Truckers and farmers set to strike across Peru over rising fuel, fertiliser prices Sectors: all; cargo transport Key Risks: supply chain disruption; civil unrest; strikes In Peru, truckers and farmers are set to strike across the country starting on 27 June to protest rising fuel and fertiliser prices. The disruptive measure was agreed on […]
Date first published: 16/06/2022 Key sectors: all; oil and gas Key risks: political stability; sanctions Risk development On 10 June state-owned oil company PDVSA stated that the Greek-flagged Aframax Minerva Zoe oil tanker chartered by Italian oil firm Eni had arrived in Venezuelan waters to carry 650,000 barrels of diluted crude oil bound for […]
Americas: Disruptive anti-government protests enter second week across Ecuador Sectors: all; oil sector; retail; cargo transport Key Risks: business interruption; disruptive civil unrest; vandalism; sabotage In Ecuador, disruptive anti-government protests are expected to continue across the country over the coming week. Hundreds of indigenous protesters arrived in the capital Quito on 19 June defying a […]
Date first published: 14/06/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: leadership change; populist policy; trade disputes Risk development On 6 June Prime Minister (PM) Boris Johnson faced a vote of confidence from members of his own Conservative Party. Johnson managed to survive but won the support of only 211 MPs – 59 per cent of […]
Americas: Petro and Hernandez to face off on Colombia’s 19 June presidential runoff Sectors: all; extractives sector Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political stability; business and economic risks In Colombia, leftist Senator and former guerrilla Gustavo Petro and businessman Rodolfo Hernandez will face off in a highly uncertain presidential runoff on 19 June. Recent polls suggest […]
Date first published: 07/06/2022 Key sectors: healthcare Key risks: pandemics Risk Development In early May 2022, UK authorities confirmed the first registered case of monkeypox – a viral disease with some similarities to smallpox. Over the next month cases were reported across Europe, as well as in the Americas, North Africa and Australia. By 4 June a total […]
Americas: US sanctions on Venezuelan oil set to ease, pressure for political dialogue to increase Sectors: all; oil sector Key Risks: sanctions; business risks In Venezuela, pressure for the resumption of talks between President Nicolas Maduro’s government and the US-backed opposition is set to increase as the US appears ready to partially ease sanctions on […]
Date first published: 31/05/2022 Key sectors: energy; oil and gas Key risks: business risks; trade; sanctions; energy security Risk development On 27 April Russia’s state-owned gas company Gazprom cut natural gas deliveries to Poland over its refusal to comply with a new rouble payment mechanism – demanded by Moscow since 1 April, in breach […]
Americas: Peru’s President Castillo to face further pressure amid fresh criminal probe Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; corruption; governability; civil unrest In Peru, leftist President Pedro Castillo is set to face growing pressure over his alleged involvement in another corruption probe which risks further affecting his plummeting popularity. On 29 May the Attorney General’s […]
Date first published: 19/05/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: default; currency collapse; government change Risk development On 10 April, Imran Khan was removed from the position of prime minister following a controversial no-confidence vote. Into his place stepped Shehbaz Sharif, the head of the PML-N, and the brother of ousted former prime minister Nawaz […]
Americas: Colombia’s presidential elections likely to result in June runoff, political uncertainty Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence and uncertainty; policy continuity; business and economic risks In Colombia, presidential elections scheduled for 29 May are expected to lead to a 19 June runoff between leftist frontrunner Gustavo Petro and either centre-right Federico Gutierrez or independent […]