Americas: Tensions increase following ELN car bomb attack in Colombia’s capital Sectors: oil and gas; electricity; security-force/government personnel and assets Key Risks: terrorism; targeted attacks; insurgency; kidnapping In Colombia, further National Liberation Army (ELN) activity can be expected amid rising tensions between the leftist guerrilla group and President Ivan Duque’s government following the 17 January […]
Americas: Disruptive shortages amid crackdown on fuel theft to continue across Mexico Sectors: all Key Risks: fuel shortages; disruptive unrest; fuel theft In Mexico, disruptive fuel shortages are expected to continue across the country as the government of President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) cracks down on fuel theft with a strategy that has forced […]
Americas: Venezuela’s Maduro to take office for second term amid growing tensions Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; crackdown on dissent In Venezuela, President Nicolas Maduro is scheduled to take office for a second six-year term on 10 January amid increasing regional pressure for him to refrain from doing so and amid growing […]
Americas: Government crackdown on dissent continues to intensify in Nicaragua Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; business disruption In Nicaragua, the government will likely continue to intensify the ongoing crackdown on dissent. On 13 December Congress stripped five NGOs critical of President Daniel Ortega of their legal status, meaning they can no longer […]
Americas: Voters in Peru support anti-corruption reforms in referendum Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest Exit polls from the 9 December referendum show strong support for President Martin Vizcarra’s political and judicial reforms to target corruption and reshape the political system in Peru. Voters approved three out of four reforms, first announced in […]
Americas: Haiti faces fresh wave of violent anti-government protests Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political instability; business disruption In Haiti, waves of nationwide violent anti-government protests are expected to continue. At least 17 people have been killed since 18 November, when clashes intensified as demonstrators blocked streets with burning tyres in the capital Port-au-Prince and […]
Americas: Leftist AMLO to take office in Mexico on 1 December Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; political instability; currency volatility In Mexico, leftist president-elect Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) will take office on 1 December amid persistent uncertainty over his future policies. AMLO’s security strategy includes creating a 50,000-strong National Guard as part of […]
Americas: Austerity 2019 budget approved in Argentina; risk of unrest, attacks ahead of G20 Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; terrorism; governability In Argentina, the Senate approved the 2019 austerity budget by 45 to 24 votes on 15 November in a political victory for President Mauricio Macri’s government. The approval came three days after S&P […]
Americas: ELN steps-up attacks in Colombia as prospects for peace talks resumption wane Sectors: oil and gas; electricity; security force/government assets Key Risks: terrorism; targeted attacks; armed clashes; kidnapping In Colombia, the leftist ELN guerrillas reportedly carried out several attacks in the northern Cesar department on 10 November. Five civilians were injured when forced out […]
Americas: US midterm elections on 6 November Sectors: all Key Risks: split government; protests; political inertia; impeachment Voters in the United States take part in nationwide elections on 6 November, during which the entire US House of Representatives is up for re-election, as are 35 of 100 Senate seats, although some could see a runoff […]
Date first published: 18/10/2018 Key sectors: aviation; infrastructure; oil & gas Key risks: business disruption; political violence Over the last four months, Yemen’s Huthi militia have released multiple media reports claiming to have conducted both drone and missile attacks on Emirati airports and Saudi vessels. Such reports, if true, indicate a new level in Huthi capabilities to hit […]
Americas: Far-right Jair Bolsonaro likely to win Brazil’s polarised presidential runoff Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; civil unrest; policy changes In Brazil, a highly polarised presidential runoff between right-wing frontrunner Jair Bolsonaro and leftist Workers’ Party candidate (PT) Fernando Haddad will be held on 28 October. Former army captain Bolsonaro was polling at almost […]
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