Americas: Colombia’s nationwide civic strike to continue to intensify Sectors: oil; cargo transport Key Risks: disruptive blockades; violent unrest; targeted violence In Colombia, a nationwide indefinite strike launched on 23 October by rural workers and social organisations to demand the government fulfil the peace agreement with the FARC is set to continue to intensify […]
Americas: Macri’s government poised to pass its first electoral test Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity In Argentina, midterm legislative elections will take place on 22 October, with the ruling Cambiemos alliance likely to secure a positive result and strengthen its position in Congress. A successful election will not mean achieving a majority […]
Americas: Corruption fallout in Brazil far from over Sectors: construction; oil and gas Key Risks: non-payment; reputational risks In Brazil, corruption fallout is far from over. On 8 October local media reported that the government was seeking US$12.7bln from Andrade Gutierrez as part of an agreement to settle claims related to its involvement in kickback […]
Date first published: 28/09/2017 Key sectors: military and defence; humanitarian aid; internal security Key risks: civil unrest; terrorism; foreign military confrontation Of the 72 per cent of Kurds in and out of the autonomous region who participated in the non-binding referendum on 25 September, 92.73 per cent voted ‘Yes’ to an independent Kurdistan. Celebrations broke out across the […]
Americas: Government and ELN begin temporary bilateral ceasefire Sectors: all Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency In Colombia, the government and the leftist ELN guerrillas began a temporary bilateral ceasefire on 1 October scheduled to last until 9 January 2018, with the possibility of an extension. The agreement, the first in over 50 years of conflict, is […]
Americas: International pressure on Venezuela continues to mount Sectors: all Key Risks: non-payment; FX shortage; political instability In Venezuela, the government continues to face increased international pressure against its authoritarian drive. On 22 September Canada imposed sanctions against 40 Venezuelan government officials, including President Nicolas Maduro, citing their ‘anti-democratic behaviour’. The measure freezes any assets […]
Americas: President Temer faces new criminal charges – and is likely to survive them Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; political uncertainty; delays to fiscal reform agenda; corruption fallout On 14 September in Brazil, General Prosecutor Rodrigo Janot charged President Michel Temer with obstruction of justice and racketeering alongside eight other political allies. The Supreme […]
Americas: Guatemala plunges into political crisis Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; corruption fallout In Guatemala, the Supreme Court of Justice is expected to rule on whether to lift President Jimmy Morales’ immunity from prosecution. The Attorney General’s office and the UN-backed International Commission against Impunity in Guatemala (CICIG) requested the judgement citing […]
Americas: Mapuche-related violence to persist Sectors: cargo transport; forestry; agriculture; security forces Key Risks: terrorism; commercial/property damage; cargo disruption In Chile, attacks against forestry, agriculture and transport personnel and assets will remain a concern in the southern Araucania, Bio Bio and Los Rios regions as indicated by the latest incident in Temuco, Araucania on 19 […]
Americas: Former Pemex director allegedly involved in Odebrecht corruption scandal Sectors: oil and gas; construction Key Risks: corruption fallout; reputational risks In Mexico, the Attorney General stated on 13 August that the alleged involvement of former Pemex director Emilio Lozoya in the Odebrecht corruption scandal would be investigated to its final consequences. Lozoya denied Brazilian media reports that he […]
Americas: Macri’s first election test looms Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; political stability In Argentina, the policies of President Mauricio Macri will face the first, albeit far from definitive, test in the 13 August nationwide legislative primary elections, which are compulsory and will serve as an indication of the potential results of the 22 […]
Americas: Further US sanctions against Venezuela expected Sectors: all Key Risks: non-payment; FX shortage; civil unrest; deadly violence; political instability In Venezuela, further US sanctions are expected following the controversial 30 July vote to elect a National Constituent Assembly (NCA) that will be tasked with rewriting the constitution, a move expected to further entrench President […]
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