Ones to Watch
Americas: Heightened risk of political violence in Ecuador ahead of 20 August snap elections Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; policy uncertainty; political stability In Ecuador, on 20 August voters will choose the next president and lawmakers in snap elections triggered by President Guillermo Lasso’s 17 May dissolution of the National Assembly (NA) by decree […]
Americas: Argentina to decide its presidential candidates in 13 August primaries Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy uncertainty In Argentina, on 13 August the presidential primaries – for which voting is mandatory for all citizens aged 18-70 – will be held. The primaries tend to be an accurate indicator of the outcome of the […]
Americas: Government, ELN six-month bilateral ceasefire to take effect in Colombia Sectors: all; oil and gas; transport; electricity Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency; violent crime; targeted attacks; kidnapping In Colombia, on 3 August a six-month nationwide bilateral ceasefire agreement – announced on 9 June – between President Gustavo Petro’s government and the leftist National Liberation Army […]
Americas: Mayor, 11 inmates killed as uptick in violent crime consolidates in Ecuador Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; violent crime; gang-related crime In Ecuador, on 23 July Mayor Agustin Intriago and one other person were killed and four people – including two assailants – were injured in a shooting attack by an identified criminal […]
Americas: Fresh, disruptive anti-government unrest expected in Peru Sectors: all; mining; cargo transport Key Risks: civil unrest; business interruption; political violence; political stability In Peru, on 14 July President Dina Boluarte’s government pledged to use only legitimate force and to guarantee demonstrators’ safety in anti-government protests scheduled for 19 July. The pledge came after the […]
Americas: Government and dissident former FARC rebel faction to open peace talks in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: targeted attacks; violent clashes; violent crime; kidnapping In Colombia, on 9 July President Gustavo Petro’s government and the Estado Mayor Central (EMC) dissident former FARC rebel group agreed to open peace talks, though an official start date […]
Americas: Protests likely as Brazil’s federal electoral court bans Bolsonaro from office until 2030 Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest In Brazil, on 30 June five out of seven federal electoral court (TSE) justices ruled that far-right former president Jair Bolsonaro abused his power and misused the media in the October 2022 election – which […]
Americas: Government declares overnight curfews to tackle growing gang violence in Honduras Sectors: all Key Risks: gang-related violence; organised crime; violent crime In Honduras, on 25 June President Xiomara Castro’s government declared an overnight curfew in the cities of Choloma and San Pedro Sula, Cortes department, after at least 24 people were killed in separate […]
Americas: Heightened risk of social unrest ahead of 25 June general elections in Guatemala Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political violence; electoral fraud In Guatemala, on 25 June citizens will go to the polls to elect the next president and new members of congress amid record low public trust in the country’s institutions. Only […]
Americas: Trinidad and Tobago looking to restart idle LNG train in 2027 to boost output, exports Sectors: oil and gas Key Risks: business risk In Trinidad and Tobago, on 8 June reports emerged indicating that the government plans to restart an idled liquefied natural gas (LNG) train – that was forced to shut down in […]
Americas: Government and ELN guerrilla to conclude third round of peace talks in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency; targeted attacks; violent clashes; violent crime; kidnapping In Colombia, on 8 June the government and the leftist ELN guerrilla group are set to conclude the ongoing third round of peace talks – which began on […]
Americas: Government rules out cash compensation after seizing private firm’s railway in Mexico Sectors: transport; all Key Risks: business risk; confiscation; frustration of process In Mexico, on 24 May leftist President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) stated that government compensation to Grupo Mexico would not include cash after his government “temporarily” seized part of the […]
To download this report, please enter your details below.