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Ones to Watch, 9 January 2023

Americas: Civic committee leader declares day of national protest on 10 January in Bolivia Sectors: all; transport Key Risks: civil unrest; political violence; business disruption In Bolivia, on 4 January President of the powerful Pro Santa Cruz Civic Committee Romulo Calvo declared 10 January as a day of nationwide mobilisation to demand the release of […]

Ones to Watch, 3 January 2023

Americas: Colombia’s government, five armed groups agree to six-month bilateral ceasefire  Sectors: all Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency; targeted attacks; violent clashes; violent crime; kidnapping In Colombia, on 31 December President Gustavo Petro’s government announced a bilateral ceasefire effective from 1 January until 30 June with five armed groups to support official peace talks between the […]

Ones to Watch, 28 December 2022

Americas: Security forces foil bomb plot ahead of Lula’s inauguration in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; civil unrest In Brazil, on 24 December an unidentified assailant was arrested after an attempted bomb attack near the international airport in the capital Brasilia. Security forces deactivated the explosives found in a fuel truck after they were […]

Ones to Watch, 19 December 2022

Americas:  Fresh US sanctions to hamper government-opposition talks in Venezuela Sectors: all Key Risks: sanctions risk; political stability In Venezuela, on 16 December President Nicolas Maduro criticised the US Congress’ approval of a new sanctions law prohibiting US federal agencies from doing business with any company that supports Maduro’s government. Maduro described the new restrictions […]

Ones to Watch, 12 December 2022

Americas: Peru’s President Boluarte announces bill for snap elections amid nationwide protests  Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political violence; political stability In Peru, on 12 December President Dina Boluarte responded to nationwide protests demanding snap elections by announcing that she would present a bill to Congress to bring forward the general election from April […]

Ones to Watch, 5 December 2022

Americas: Court to deliver ruling in corruption case against Vice President Kirchner Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political violence In Argentina, on 6 December the court is expected to deliver its ruling in the corruption case against former president and current Vice President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK). The verdict will coincide with rising […]

Ones to Watch, 28 November 2022

Americas: US eases sanctions as Venezuelan government begins fresh talks with the opposition Sectors: all; energy Key Risks: sanctions; business risks In Venezuela, on 26 November the US eased oil sanctions on the country to support the start of fresh Oslo-mediated talks between President Nicolas Maduro’s government and opposition representatives in Mexico’s capital Mexico City. […]

Ones to Watch, 21 November 2022

Americas: Colombian government to resume formal peace talks with the ELN in Venezuela Sectors: all Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency; violent clashes; violent crime; targeted attacks; kidnapping In Colombia, formal peace talks between the government and the leftist ELN guerrilla group are scheduled to resume on 21 November in Venezuela’s capital Caracas. On 17 November President […]

Ones to Watch, 14 November

Americas: Democrats perform better than expected, retain Senate in US midterm elections Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; political stability In the US, the Democrats performed better than expected in the midterm elections as they retained control of the Senate, even winning a seat in Pennsylvania previously held by Republicans. The Republicans look likely to […]

Ones to Watch, 7 November 2022

Americas: Violent power struggle between government and criminal gangs to continue in Haiti Sectors: fuel distribution; all Key Risks: violent clashes; attacks; looting; supply chain disruption In Haiti, the violent power struggle between the government and criminal gangs is set to continue. On 6 November Jimmy ‘Barbecue’ Cherizier, the leader of the G9 coalition of […]

Ones to Watch, 31 October 2022

Americas: Opposition-led strike set to continue in Bolivia’s Santa Cruz department Sectors: agriculture; farming; cargo; transport Key Risks: disruptive civil unrest; road blockades; violent clashes; export restrictions In Bolivia, protests featuring road blockades are expected to continue across Santa Cruz department as an opposition-led strike enters its second week. On 30 October local media reported […]

Ones to Watch, 24 October 2022

Americas: Brazil’s presidential runoff on track to become the most polarised in country’s history Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; regulatory uncertainty; political instability; political violence; civil unrest In Brazil, the presidential runoff scheduled for 30 October is on track to become the most polarised in the country’s history. Although former leftist president Luiz Inacio […]

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