Ones to Watch
Americas: uncertainty grows as Colombians reject FARC peace deal Sectors: all Key Risks: insurgency; terrorism; political instability In Colombia, the coming weeks will be crucial to lower the levels of uncertainty sparked after Colombians unexpectedly rejected the final peace deal signed between the government and the FARC in a national referendum on 2 October. With a […]
Americas: crucial week for government-FARC final peace deal In Colombia, the coming week will be crucial in securing a final peace agreement between the government and the FARC. On 26 September both parties plan to formally sign the final deal in Cartagena in a ceremony that is expected to pass peacefully, although rallies by those […]
Americas: Mexico City to face unrest during students’ disappearance second anniversary In Mexico, demonstrations have been scheduled for 26 September in the capital Mexico City to mark the second anniversary of the controversial disappearance of 43 students in Iguala, Guerrero state. Associated unrest could potentially occur in other urban centres across Mexico. President Enrique Pena […]
Americas: Colombia’s FARC to ratify final peace deal In Colombia, the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) plan to hold their X National Guerrilla Conference between 17 and 23 September to ratify the final peace agreement with the government. The conference is expected to take place in San Vicente del Caguan in the southern Caqueta […]
Americas: tension in Venezuela to continue to increase In Venezuela, the opposition has called for further demonstrations to take place in the capital Caracas and across the country’s main urban centres on 7 and 14 September to demand a recall referendum against President Nicolas Maduro take place in 2016. Pro-government rallies are also planned for […]
Americas: Rousseff likely to lose impeachment trial final vote In Brazil, the Senate’s final vote on suspended President Dilma Rousseff impeachment trial is expected to take place between 30 and 31 August, with Rousseff increasingly likely to be permanently removed from the presidency. Should at least two-thirds of the 81 senators find her guilty of […]
Americas: Rousseff’s impeachment, unrest in Bolivia, Colombia’s Choco strikes In Brazil, the Senate is scheduled to begin suspended President Dilma Rousseff’s impeachment trial on 25 August. Should at least two-thirds of the 81 senators find her guilty of doctoring fiscal accounts to mask Brazil’s budget deficit Rousseff will be permanently removed from office and interim […]
Americas: Venezuela-Colombia border reopens; Olympic security; utility hike in Argentina Venezuelans will likely continue to cross en masse into neighbouring Colombia to buy mostly food and medicine following the 11 August bilateral agreement to gradually re-open the border, which was unilaterally closed by Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro nearly a year ago over security concerns. Both countries […]
Americas: Rio Olympics begin; ELN peace talks, Nicaragua’s increased political tension In Brazil, civil unrest and crime will remain key risks throughout the upcoming Olympic Games in Rio de Janeiro beginning on 5 August. Opposition demonstrations are expected in Rio on that date. Further unrest will remain likely at least until the Games end on […]
Americas: recall referendum in Venezuela; Peru’s new president; Mexico teachers’ strike Venezuela’s National Electoral Council (CNE) is expected to discuss the date for the start of the second of three stages in the recall-referendum process against President Nicolas Maduro on 1 August. The opposition MUD coalition has repeatedly denounced electoral authorities continue to delay the […]
Americas: Security in Rio; unrest in Argentina; and Colombian truckers’ strike In Brazil heightened security measures should be expected over the coming weeks as the 5-21 August Olympic Games taking place in Rio de Janeiro approach. Concerns over security in the lead up to and during the Games have recently increased. On 15 July the […]
Americas In Chile, student-led opposition to the government’s education reform is expected to continue to fuel unrest at least over the coming weeks, with a potential for associated violence and collateral material damage. Thousands of students demonstrated on 5 and 10 July in the capital Santiago and other urban centres to reject the education reform […]
To download this report, please enter your details below.