Tag: insights

AKE’s Sub-Saharan Africa Analyst on Zimbabwe and Mugabe

AKE’s analyst for Sub-Saharan Africa, Alisha Patel, is featured in CNBC’s coverage of the crisis in Zimbabwe and Mugabe’s prospects for retaining power.

AKE Ones to Watch, 13 November 2017

Americas: Venezuelan government to meet with creditors to discuss debt restructuring Sectors: all Key Risks: sovereign default; payment delays; political instability; sanctions In Venezuela, on 13 November the government of President Nicolas Maduro is scheduled to meet with creditors holding US$63bln in bonds to discuss plans to restructure and refinance the debt. The meeting follows […]

Ones to Watch, 6 November 2017

Americas: Extractive industries to continue to face risk of disruptive unrest across Peru Sectors: extractive industries Key Risks: disruptive blockades; violent unrest; business interruption   In Peru, the extractive industries sector remains exposed to the risk of disruptive unrest. This risk is unlikely to significantly decrease over the coming months despite government efforts to strike […]

Ones to Watch, 30 October 2017

Americas: Colombia’s nationwide civic strike to continue to intensify Sectors: oil; cargo transport Key Risks: disruptive blockades; violent unrest; targeted violence   In Colombia, a nationwide indefinite strike launched on 23 October by rural workers and social organisations to demand the government fulfil the peace agreement with the FARC is set to continue to intensify […]

Ones to Watch, 16 October 2017

Americas: Macri’s government poised to pass its first electoral test Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity In Argentina, midterm legislative elections will take place on 22 October, with the ruling Cambiemos alliance likely to secure a positive result and strengthen its position in Congress. A successful election will not mean achieving a majority […]

Ones to Watch, 9 October 2018

Americas: Corruption fallout in Brazil far from over Sectors: construction; oil and gas Key Risks: non-payment; reputational risks In Brazil, corruption fallout is far from over. On 8 October local media reported that the government was seeking US$12.7bln from Andrade Gutierrez as part of an agreement to settle claims related to its involvement in kickback […]

Iraq: Kurdistan votes; what now?

Date first published: 28/09/2017 Key sectors: military and defence; humanitarian aid; internal security Key risks: civil unrest; terrorism; foreign military confrontation Of the 72 per cent of Kurds in and out of the autonomous region who participated in the non-binding referendum on 25 September, 92.73 per cent voted ‘Yes’ to an independent Kurdistan. Celebrations broke out across the […]

Ones to Watch, 2 October 2017

Americas: Government and ELN begin temporary bilateral ceasefire Sectors: all Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency In Colombia, the government and the leftist ELN guerrillas began a temporary bilateral ceasefire on 1 October scheduled to last until 9 January 2018, with the possibility of an extension. The agreement, the first in over 50 years of conflict, is […]

AKE Ones to Watch, 25 September 2017

Americas: International pressure on Venezuela continues to mount Sectors: all Key Risks: non-payment; FX shortage; political instability In Venezuela, the government continues to face increased international pressure against its authoritarian drive. On 22 September Canada imposed sanctions against 40 Venezuelan government officials, including President Nicolas Maduro, citing their ‘anti-democratic behaviour’. The measure freezes any assets […]

Ones to Watch, 18 September 2017

Americas: President Temer faces new criminal charges – and is likely to survive them Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; political uncertainty; delays to fiscal reform agenda; corruption fallout On 14 September in Brazil, General Prosecutor Rodrigo Janot charged President Michel Temer with obstruction of justice and racketeering alongside eight other political allies. The Supreme […]

Ones to Watch: 21 August 2017

Americas: Mapuche-related violence to persist Sectors: cargo transport; forestry; agriculture; security forces Key Risks: terrorism; commercial/property damage; cargo disruption In Chile, attacks against forestry, agriculture and transport personnel and assets will remain a concern in the southern Araucania, Bio Bio and Los Rios regions as indicated by the latest incident in Temuco, Araucania on 19 […]

AKE Ones to Watch: 7 August 2017

Americas: Macri’s first election test looms Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; political stability In Argentina, the policies of President Mauricio Macri will face the first, albeit far from definitive, test in the 13 August nationwide legislative primary elections, which are compulsory and will serve as an indication of the potential results of the 22 […]