Ones to Watch, 23 June 2025

Americas: Panama’s government declares state of emergency in Bocas del Toro province Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; violent clashes; vandalism; looting In Panama, on 20 June the government declared a state of emergency (SoE) – suspending certain constitutional protections and banning public gatherings – in Bocas del Toro province until 25 June. […]
DRC-Rwanda: Now or never

Date first published: 17/06/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: diplomatic; economic; war-on-land Risk development On 15 June Rwandan Minister of Foreign Affairs Olivier Nduhungirehe stated that the initial mid-June deadline for a peace deal between Kigali and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) was indicative and that negotiations are still ongoing. This followed comments on […]
Ones to Watch, 16 June 2025

Americas: Nationwide protests by former president CFK supporters expected in Argentina Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political stability In Argentina, on 10 June the Supreme Court upheld two lower courts’ 2022 corruption convictions, confirming former president and opposition Justicialist Party (JP) leader Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK)’s six-year prison sentence and a lifelong ban […]
Guinea: Put up or pack up

Date first published: 10/06/2025 Key sectors: mining Key risks: business risks; business disruptions; frustration of process Risk development On 29 May the government cancelled 129 mineral exploration permits, primarily focused on the gold, diamond and bauxite mining sectors. The stated reason was to facilitate a switch to a digitised system to reportedly optimise the licensing […]
Ones to Watch, 9 June 2025

Americas: Disruptive social security reform protests persist across Panama Sectors: all; agriculture Key Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; violent clashes; business disruptions; business risks In Panama, on 8 June President Jose Raul Mulino urged religious leaders to mediate with striking banana workers amid widespread protests against the controversial social security reform passed in March, alongside […]
EU–Iran–UK: Tehran’s criminal proxies

Date first published: 29/05/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political violence; gang violence; targeted attacks Risk development On 4 May eight people – including seven Iranian nationals – were arrested in the United Kingdom (UK) during major counter-terrorism operations on suspicion of plotting “terrorist” acts and posing a threat to national security. On 17 May […]
Ones to Watch, 2 June 2025

Americas: Voters head to polls in first-ever judicial elections in Mexico Sectors: all Key Risks: governability; governance; political uncertainty; corruption In Mexico, on 1 June voters headed to the polls in the country’s first-ever judicial elections to choose over 2,600 judges, including all nine Supreme Court justices, in a controversial reform pushed by President Claudia […]
Peru: Mining sector in the crosshairs

Date first published: 22/05/2025 Key sectors: mining; cargo transport Key risks: targeted attacks; civil unrest; kidnapping; business risks; business disruptions; economic risks Risk development On 5 May President Dina Boluarte suspended all mining activity in Pataz province, La Libertad region, for 30 days after the bodies of 13 gold mine workers from local firm R&R […]
Ones to Watch, 27 May 2025

Americas: Colombia’s labour unions to strike in support of President Petro’s referendum Sectors: all Key Risks: industrial action; vandalism; cargo transport In Colombia, on 28 and 29 May labour unions led by the Unitary Workers’ Central (CUT) will stage a 48-hour nationwide strike to pressure Congress into approving President Gustavo Petro’s proposed labour reform referendum. […]
Maldives: A different type of resort

Date first published: 15/05/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: business risks; economic risks; corruption Risk development On 5 May Male, in partnership with the United Arab Emirates-based MBS Global Investments, announced the development of Maldives International Financial Centre (MIFC) – a US$8.8bln project, aimed at establishing a fully sustainable Special Economic Zone (SEZ) in Male, to attract […]
Ones to Watch, 19 May 2025

Americas: Two police officers, journalist and merchant injured in clashes in Bolivia Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; In Bolivia, on 16 May two police officers, a journalist and a merchant were injured in clashes in the capital La Paz between supporters of former president Evo Morales – including labour unions and social […]
Nigeria: Bandits to the left, insurgents to the right

Date first published: 08/05/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: terrorism; communal violence; banditry Risk development Between 4 and 20 April multiple-casualty attacks occurred in the country’s North-East, North-West and North-Central geopolitical zones. Over 110 people were killed in two attacks by Fulani militias in Plateau state on 4 and 14 April. On 19 April more […]