Insights
Date first published: 11/11/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political stability Risk development On 10 November authorities issued warrants for the arrest of 10 senior opposition figures, including the CHADEMA party’s secretary general, spokesperson and members of its central committee. This followed the 9 November arrest of the party’s deputy secretary […]
Americas: Chile to head to polls on 16 November for presidential election Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy uncertainty In Chile, on 16 November citizens will head to polling stations to vote in the presidential election – the first since 2012 in which voting is compulsory. On 27 October a Centro de Estudios Publicos […]
Date first published: 4/11/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: sanctions; business disruptions; trade disruptions Risk development On 22 October the United States (US) Treasury Department announced fresh sanctions on Russia’s two biggest oil firms, Rosneft and Lukoil, in a sharp reversal of US policy amid President Donald Trump’s frustration with Russia’s stalling of peace […]
Americas: Hundreds protest deadly police raid in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest In Brazil, on 31 October hundreds of civilians – including labour unions and human rights groups – protested in the Penha favela complex in Rio de Janeiro. Protesters demanded an end to “military incursions” into the favelas, the resignation […]
Date first published: 23/10/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; political violence; civil unrest; separatism; terrorism; targeted attacks; regional escalation; regional conflict Risk development On 11 October reports emerged that pressure mounted on the Polisario Front (PF) as UN and African bodies stepped up accusations of the group’s ties to Sahel-based extremist networks. The […]
Americas: Five killed in shooting attack in Ecuador amid escalating violence Sectors: all Key Risks: violent clashes; targeted attacks In Ecuador, on 24 October five people were killed and one person was injured in a shooting attack at a pool hall in Santo Domingo, Santo Domingo de los Tsachila province. Officials stated armed assailants broke […]
Date first published: 21/10/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: business risks; economic risks; trade frictions; supply chain disruption Risk development On 10 October United States (US) President Donald Trump announced that he would impose an additional 100 per cent tariff on Chinese imports and introduce export controls on all critical US-made software, starting on 1 November. The […]
Americas: Washington announces tariffs on Colombia, end to US aid amid escalating tensions Sectors: all Key Risks: economic risks; trade disruptions; targeted attacks; regional escalation In Colombia, on 19 October US President Donald Trump announced Washington would enact tariffs on the country – in addition to the 10 per cent already levied – and slash […]
Date first published: 02/10/2025 Key sectors: media; all Key risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political stability Risk development On 3 October at least eight people were arrested as approximately 2,000 people, including former president Ibrahim Solih, marched against government corruption and curtailing of media freedoms in the capital, Male. Police deployed the use of riot […]
Americas: Bolivia gears up for presidential runoff on 19 October Sectors: allKey Risks: policy uncertainty; political polarisation; governance In Bolivia, on 19 October voters will elect President Luis Arce’s successor in the run-off election, with the winner set to take office on 8 November. A recent IPSOS-Ciesmori poll showed right-wing former president Jorge ‘Tuto’ Quiroga […]
Date first published: 02/10/2025 Key sectors: energy; political; fiscal stability; investment Key risks: political stability; economic risks; business risks Risk development On 27 September oil exports from the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) resumed through the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline after a two-and-a-half-year suspension. The restart followed a 22 September agreement between Baghdad, the Kurdistan regional Government […]
Americas: Four killed in US military strike on drug-smuggling vessel off the coast of Venezuela Sectors: allKey Risks: targeted attacks; regional escalation In Venezuela, on 3 October four people were killed in a US military strike against an alleged drug-smuggling vessel in the Caribbean sea off the country’s coast. This came after three US military […]