Insights
Americas: Thousands protest President Petro’s reforms in major cities across Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: traffic disruption; civil unrest In Colombia, on 23 November thousands demonstrated in Cali, Valle del Cauca province; Medellin, Antioquia province; and the capital Bogota to protest President Gustavo Petro’s policies – including pension, health and labour reforms – as well […]
Date first published: 19/11/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; economic stagnation; corruption Risk development Botswana went to the polls on 30 October in what was set up to be a run-of-the-mill election for the ruling Botswana Democratic Party (BDP), which governed the country since independence in 1966. Instead, the BDP suffered a resounding […]
Americas: Uruguay gears up for run-off presidential election on 24 November Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; traffic disruption In Uruguay, on 24 November voters will head to the polls to elect President Luis Lacalle Pou’s successor in a run-off vote between Pou’s ruling centre-right coalition led by the Partido Nacional (PN) and the opposition […]
Date first published: 07/11/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; political polarisation Risk development Republican nominee and former president Donald Trump regained the White House with a stunning victory in the 5 November presidential election. At the time of writing, Trump, who was president from early 2017 to early 2021, looks set to win […]
Americas: Haiti’s transitional presidential council to replace PM Conille amid security crisis Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; governability In Haiti, on 10 November the transitional presidential council drafted a resolution – to be released in the official gazette on 11 November – to replace Prime Minister Garry Conille with former senate candidate Alix Didier […]
Date first published: 31/10/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; civil unrest; geopolitical tensions; corruption Risk development On 27 October the ruling Georgian Dream (GD) party won the 26 October general elections with 54 per cent of support. Election observers reported widespread irregularities, including vote buying, ballot stuffing and intimidation. Four opposition parties passed […]
Americas: US presidential election too close to call Sectors: all Key Risks: protests, civil unrest In the United States (US), on 5 November voters will elect the next president. Polls suggest that the race between Democratic candidate Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican nominee Donald Trump is too close to call. Harris appears to have […]
Date first published: 29/10/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political impasse; governability; policy uncertainty; corruption Risk development On 20 October former defence minister Prabowo Subianto was inaugurated as Indonesia’s eighth president and its first new president in ten years. Subianto took over from President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo and on 21 October officially swore in one of […]
Americas: Continuing blockades likely in Bolivia amid Morales assassination attempt Sectors: all Key Risks: traffic disruptions; civil unrest In Bolivia, on 27 October former president Evo Morales accused President Luis Arce’s government of an attempted assassination, alleging that his vehicle was shot at in an ambush by two vehicles near El Alto, La Paz department. […]
Date first published: 22/10/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; civil unrest Risk outlook On 20 October Moldovans voted to elect a new president and decide whether the country should enshrine in its constitution the goal of joining the European Union (EU). While President Maia Sandu won the presidential election with approximately 42 per cent […]
Americas: Uruguay gears for general elections on 27 October Sectors: all Key Risks: political continuity; traffic disruption In Uruguay, on 27 October voters will head to the polls to elect the successor to President Luis Lacalle Pou and a new parliament and also vote on two plebiscites – to potentially reform the country’s pension regime […]
Date first published: 16/10/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: energy insecurity; environmental damage; geopolitical interests Risk development On 6 October the Central Election Commission announced that citizens overwhelmingly approved the construction of the country’s first nuclear power plant since 1995, with 71 per cent voting in favour. The plant would be built in the village of Ulken […]
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