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Ones to Watch, 14 October 2024

Americas: At least 23 arrested, several injured in nationwide transportation sector strike in Peru Sectors:  all; transport sector Key Risks: civil unrest; traffic disruption In Peru, on 11 October at least 23 people were arrested and several others were injured in the transportation sector strike in Lima, Lima region, and Callao, Callao region. Protesters demanded […]

Mali: All that glitters isn’t gold

Date first published: 08/10/2024 Key sectors: mining Key risks: political instability; economic risks; frustration of process Risk development On 28 September four senior Malian employees at Barrick Gold were arrested over alleged financial crimes. The arrests came amid tensions between Barrick Gold and Bamako over the government’s stake in the Loulo-Gountako mining complex, Kayes region. […]

Ones to Watch, 7 October 2024

Americas: Heightened security, flare-ups of gang violence likely in Haiti Sectors:  all Key Risks: gang-related violence; violent crime In Haiti, on 3 October 70 people were killed and an unidentified number were injured in a shooting attack by Gran Grif gang members who burned homes and vehicles in Pont-Sonde, Artibonite department – forcing 6,270 to […]

Iran-Russia: United in isolation

Date first published: 26/09/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: war-on-land; regional escalation; geopolitical tensions Risk development On 10 September Washington accused Tehran of supplying Moscow with ballistic missiles, stating that Russia had received the deliveries and would likely deploy them in its ongoing invasion of Ukraine within weeks. In response, Washington imposed sanctions on nine Russian-flagged vessels […]

Ones to Watch, 30 September 2024

Americas: Protests likely for President-elect Sheinbaum’s inauguration ceremony in Mexico Sectors:  all Key Risks: civil unrest; traffic disruption In Mexico, on 1 October, teachers affiliated with the National Coordinator of Education Workers (CNTE), the Teaching School students and judicial workers will likely hold planned demonstrations during President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum’s inauguration in the capital Mexico City. […]

Iraq: Elections set in Kurdistan

Date first published: 19/09/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability Risk development On 20 October the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) is set to have regional elections for the first time since 2018. The elections were delayed by two years and are the first under a new electoral system. To continue reading, become a member of AKE […]

Ones to Watch, 23 September 2024

Americas: France deploys anti-riot police to contain violent protests in Martinique Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; looting In Martinique, on 22 September France deployed special anti-riot police to the overseas island territory in a move unprecedented for 65 years, following violent protests in the capital Fort-de-France arrondissement over the high cost of […]

Senegal: Opportunity from chaos

Date first published: 17/09/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political continuity; political instability; civil unrest Risk development On 12 September President Bassirou Diomaye Faye announced the dissolution of the National Assembly and scheduled new legislative elections for 17 November. This came amid growing tensions between the ruling African Patriots of Senegal for Work, Ethics and […]

Ones to Watch, 16 September 2024

Americas: Agricultural workers’ union calls for nationwide demonstrations in Bolivia Sectors: all Key Risks: traffic disruption; business disruption In Bolivia, on 12 September, the Tupac Katari Federation of Agricultural Workers called for nationwide indefinite demonstrations and road blockades to commence on 16 September, demanding the resignation of President Luis Arce and Vice President David Choquehuanca […]

Mexico: AMLO’s institutionalisation of democratic backsliding

Date first published: 05/09/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: democratic backsliding; governability Risk development On 4 September the lower house of the newly-elected Congress – sworn in on 1 September – overwhelmingly approved, with 357 votes in favour and 130 against, a controversial judicial overhaul that would introduce elections for all judges. a move supported […]

Ones to Watch, 9 September 2024

Americas: Thousands of former president Jair Bolsonaro’s supporters protest X ban in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; business disruption In Brazil, on 7 September thousands of former far-right president Jair Bolsonaro’s supporters protested the government’s 30 August suspension of Elon Musk’s X social media network – which they denounced as proof of their […]

Thailand: Democracy deferred

Date first published: 29/08/2024 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; policy uncertainty; civil unrest; economic risks Risk development On 16 August Paetongtarn Shinawatra was elected prime minister in a parliamentary vote after she was nominated by the Pheu Thai Party (PTP)-led 11-party coalition. The appointment of the 38-year-old daughter of former premier Thaksin Shinawatra […]

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