Americas: Talks between Venezuela’s Maduro and opposition continue with delays in Mexico City Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; economic risks; sanctions; protests In Venezuela, negotiations between President Nicolas Maduro’s government and the opposition resumed on 26 September after a two-day delay caused by the late arrival of Maduro’s delegation in Mexico City. The latest […]
Americas: Dismissal of attorney general, justice minister plunge Haiti into another crisis Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; governability; violent unrest In Haiti, instability risks will remain very high after the country plunged into yet another political crisis. On 15 September interim prime minister Henry replaced Justice Minister Rockfeller Vincent with Interior Minister Liszt Quitel, […]
Americas: Trudeau’s Liberal Party risks possible defeat in Canada’s 20 September snap elections Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy continuity; civil unrest In Canada, the main opposition Conservative Party could potentially challenge Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s efforts to secure re-election in the 20 September snap federal elections. Trudeau had counted on his government’s COVID-19 […]
Americas: Argentina’s ruling FdT coalition to face first major electoral test in midterm primaries Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy continuity; civil unrest In Argentina, the ruling Frente de Todos (FdT) leftist coalition will face its first major electoral test in the upcoming 12 September midterm primaries, given that primary elections are considered a […]
Americas: Opposition to announce participation in Venezuela’s upcoming regional, local vote Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; electoral violence; civil unrest In Venezuela, the four main opposition parties – Primero Justicia, Accion Democratica, Un Nuevo Tiempo and Voluntad Popular – plan to announce their intention to participate in the 21 November regional and local elections, […]
Americas: Looting, insecurity risks to continue to rise following Haiti’s earthquake Sectors: all Key Risks: looting; violent unrest; criminal activity and associated clashes In Haiti, looting incidents and overall insecurity are set to remain a high risk in the aftermath of the devastating 14 August earthquake. On 22 August Jimmy ‘Barbecue’ Cherizier, the leader of […]
Americas: Prime Minister Trudeau’s Liberal Party likely to win 20 September snap elections Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; economic risks; governability In Canada, on 15 August Prime Minister Justin Trudeau called for snap federal elections to be held on 20 September after requesting the governor-general to dissolve the parliament, citing the need to secure […]
Americas: Venezuela’s Maduro, opposition to re-launch talks ahead of November elections Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; economic risks; sanctions; protests In Venezuela, negotiations between President Nicolas Maduro’s government and the opposition are set to start as early as 13 August in Mexico. On 4 August Maduro’s government reportedly agreed to launch the Oslo-mediated talks […]
Americas: Further protests demanding President Giammattei step down expected in Guatemala Sectors: all Key Risks: unrest-related violence and disruption; political instability In Guatemala, escalating anti-government sentiment is expected to fuel further unrest at least over the coming days. On 31 July protests demanding President Alejandro Giammattei’s and Attorney General Consuelo Porras’s resignation were reported for […]
Americas: Far-left Pedro Castillo to take office on 28 July amid high instability risks Sectors: all; mining, oil Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political stability; business risks; FoP In Peru, on 28 July far-left Pedro Castillo will be sworn in as the country’s first hard left president in recent history amid heightened governability and political instability […]
Americas: Moderate candidates win Chile’s presidential primaries ahead of November’s vote Sectors: all Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political instability; protests In Chile, on 18 July former cabinet minister Sebastian Sichel of the ruling centre-right Chile Vamos coalition and lawyer Gabriel Boric from the leftist Apruebo Dignidad coalition surprisingly won the presidential primaries ahead of the […]
Americas: Protests and associated violent repression to persist across Cuba Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; unrest-related violence; government-led crackdown, arbitrary arrests In Cuba, unprecedented nationwide anti-government demonstrations and associated violent repression are expected to persist over the coming days. Protests, which are banned under the Communist Party of Cuba’s (PCC) one party regime, started […]