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Ones to Watch, 2 April 2024

Americas: Nine killed, 10 injured in latest attack in Ecuador as gang-related violence escalates Sectors: all Key Risks: gang-related violence; organised crime; violent crime In Ecuador, on 31 March nine people were killed and 10 others were injured in a shooting attack in the Guasmo neighbourhood in Guayaquil, Guayas province. The attack came amid an […]

Ones to Watch, 25 March 2024

Americas: Thousands of Argentinians commemorate coup as President Milei downplays past Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest In Argentina, on 24 March, thousands marched nationwide to commemorate the 48th anniversary of the 1976 military coup that lasted until 1983 and led to widespread repression, kidnap, murder and torture of over 30,000 people. Protesters denounced far-right […]

Ones to Watch, 18 March 2024

Americas: Hundreds participate in anti-government protests amid Cuba’s economic crisis Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest In Cuba, on 17 March, hundreds participated in rare anti-government protests in Santiago, Santiago de Cuba province, and Bayamo, Granma province, amid prolonged blackouts and shortages of basic supplies, including fuel, food and medicine. The government reportedly cut off […]

Ones to Watch, 11 March 2024

Americas: Venezuelan government arrests opposition leader Machado’s close ally Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; sanctions  In Venezuela, on 9 March Attorney General Tarek Saab announced the arrest of Emill Brandt Ulloa – the regional campaign leader for opposition candidate Maria Corina Machado – over an alleged conspiracy against President Nicolas Maduro’s government by participating […]

Ones to Watch, 4 March 2024

Americas: Heightened political violence risks ahead of 2 June general elections in Mexico Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence In Mexico, on 26 and 27 February, two mayoral candidates were killed in separate shooting attacks in Maravatio, Michoacan state. One of the victims was from the conservative National Action Party (PAN) and the other was […]

Ones to Watch, 26 February 2024

Americas: Haiti’s PM Henry rallies support for UN-backed multinational force deployment Sectors: all Key Risks: gang-related violence; organised crime; violent crime In Haiti, on 14 February Prime Minister Ariel Henry’s government announced that its officials met with Kenyan counterparts to draft a memorandum of understanding (MoU) and set a deadline for the deployment of a […]

Ones to Watch, 19 February 2024

Americas: Brazil’s Bolsonaro calls for 25 February demonstration amid coup plot accusations Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest In Brazil, on 25 February supporters of far-right former president Jair Bolsonaro are set to attend a “peaceful event” in Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo state. The demonstration was called for by Bolsonaro on 13 February to rally […]

Ones to Watch, 27 November 2023

Americas: Controversial referendum over Essequibo region set for 3 December in Venezuela Sectors: all; oil and gas Key Risks: external conflict; civil unrest; border tension In Venezuela, on 3 December President Nicolas Maduro’s government will hold a public referendum over the disputed oil-rich Essequibo region amid recent escalations in a long-standing territorial dispute with neighbouring […]

Ones to Watch, 20 November 2023

Americas: President-elect Noboa expected to be sworn in on 23 November in Ecuador  Sectors: all Key Risks: political uncertainty; political instability; policy continuity; governability risks  In Ecuador, on 23 November President-elect Daniel Noboa is expected to be sworn in to begin his truncated 18-month term. On 11 November legislator-elect Pierina Correa stated that the tentative […]

Ones to Watch, 6 November 2023

Americas: Heightened risk of violent clashes and protests in Honduras Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; political violence; violent clashes In Honduras, on 1 November ruling Libre party lawmakers elected Johel Zelaya as interim Attorney General, with a committee vote where their members make up a majority – even though they represent a […]

Ones to Watch, 30 October 2023

Americas: Renewed protests likely as MS party’s legal immunity set to expire in Guatemala Sectors: all; cargo transport Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; political violence; violent clashes In Guatemala, on 31 October the immunity from legal cases granted to President-elect Bernardo Arevalo’s Seed Movement (MS) party will expire. Any lawsuits filed against MS after […]

Ones to Watch, 23 October 2023

Americas: Over 40 organisations set to protest across Costa Rica on 25 October Sectors: all; transport Key Risks: civil unrest In Costa Rica, on 25 October anti-government demonstrators – including members of the National Council of Rectors (CONARE) union and 40 other student- and teacher-led social organisations  –  are set to protest nationwide. The protests […]