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Cambodia-Thailand: Family matters

AKE International Risk Analysis

Date first published: 05/08/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: war on land; political instability; coup d’etat Risk development From 24 to 29 July 43 people were killed, 130 were injured and over 250,000 people were evacuated after the Thai and Cambodian militaries engaged in a series of clashes along the border in Surin, Buri Ram, […]

Colombia: Total peace to total failure?

AKE International Risk Analysis

Date first published: 24/07/2025 Key sectors: all; oil and gas Key risks: politic violence; violent clashes; economic risks; business risks; targeted attacks Risk development On 13 July the Cano Limon-Covenas Oil Pipeline was bombed by unidentified assailants in Saravena, Arauca department, prompting the suspension of pumping between oil fields in the northeast and the Caribbean […]

Piracy on the rise: Southeast Asia’s shipping at risk

AKE International Risk Analysis

Date first published: 22/07/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks:  business risks; business disruptions; trade disruptions; targeted attacks; kidnapping; cargo transport Risk development    While global incidents of piracy and armed robbery against ships (ARAS) have generally declined in recent years, Southeast Asia has seen a marked resurgence since the beginning of 2025. The Straits of Malacca […]

Thailand: Three Shinawatra governments, three coup d’etats?

AKE International Risk Analysis

Date first published: 03/07/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: government instability; political instability; coup d’etat Risk development On 1 July Bangkok’s Constitutional Court suspended Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra from all duties pending an ethics violation case. The case covers the contents of her phone call with former Cambodian prime minister Hun Sen, intended to de-escalate tensions after the […]

Kenya: From the frying pan into the fire

Date first published: 01/07/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political stability Risk development On 25 June at least 12 people were killed and 400 others injured in youth-led, nationwide protests across Kenya, marking the one-year anniversary of demonstrations opposing the controversial 2024 Finance Bill. Protesters took to the streets of urban centres […]

Israel-Iran: Peace through Strength

Date first published: 24/06/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: regional tensions; regional escalation; geopolitical tensions Risk development On 13 June Israel struck Tehran’s nuclear facilities, missile sites and military command centres in Tehran. The attack prompted an immediate Iranian response with ‘Operation True Promise III’. Rejecting US President Donald Trump’s calls for “unconditional surrender”, on […]

DRC-Rwanda: Now or never

Date first published: 17/06/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: diplomatic; economic; war-on-land Risk development On 15 June Rwandan Minister of Foreign Affairs Olivier Nduhungirehe stated that the initial mid-June deadline for a peace deal between Kigali and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) was indicative and that negotiations are still ongoing. This followed comments on […]

Guinea: Put up or pack up

Date first published: 10/06/2025 Key sectors: mining Key risks: business risks; business disruptions; frustration of process Risk development On 29 May the government cancelled 129 mineral exploration permits, primarily focused on the gold, diamond and bauxite mining sectors. The stated reason was to facilitate a switch to a digitised system to reportedly optimise the licensing […]

EU–Iran–UK: Tehran’s criminal proxies

Date first published: 29/05/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: political violence; gang violence; targeted attacks Risk development On 4 May eight people – including seven Iranian nationals – were arrested in the United Kingdom (UK) during major counter-terrorism operations on suspicion of plotting “terrorist” acts and posing a threat to national security. On 17 May […]

Peru: Mining sector in the crosshairs

Date first published: 22/05/2025 Key sectors: mining; cargo transport Key risks: targeted attacks; civil unrest; kidnapping; business risks; business disruptions; economic risks Risk development On 5 May President Dina Boluarte suspended all mining activity in Pataz province, La Libertad region, for 30 days after the bodies of 13 gold mine workers from local firm R&R […]

Maldives: A different type of resort

Date first published: 15/05/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: business risks; economic risks; corruption Risk development On 5 May Male, in partnership with the United Arab Emirates-based MBS Global Investments, announced the development of Maldives International Financial Centre (MIFC) – a US$8.8bln project, aimed at establishing a fully sustainable Special Economic Zone (SEZ) in Male, to attract […]

Nigeria: Bandits to the left, insurgents to the right

Date first published: 08/05/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: terrorism; communal violence; banditry Risk development Between 4 and 20 April multiple-casualty attacks occurred in the country’s North-East, North-West and North-Central geopolitical zones. Over 110 people were killed in two attacks by Fulani militias in Plateau state on 4 and 14 April. On 19 April more […]

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