Ones to Watch, 3 November 2025

Americas: Hundreds protest deadly police raid in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest In Brazil, on 31 October hundreds of civilians – including labour unions and human rights groups – protested in the Penha favela complex in Rio de Janeiro. Protesters demanded an end to “military incursions” into the favelas, the resignation […]
Ones to Watch, 27 October 2025

Americas: Five killed in shooting attack in Ecuador amid escalating violence Sectors: all Key Risks: violent clashes; targeted attacks In Ecuador, on 24 October five people were killed and one person was injured in a shooting attack at a pool hall in Santo Domingo, Santo Domingo de los Tsachila province. Officials stated armed assailants broke […]
Ones to Watch, 20 October 2025

Americas: Washington announces tariffs on Colombia, end to US aid amid escalating tensions Sectors: all Key Risks: economic risks; trade disruptions; targeted attacks; regional escalation In Colombia, on 19 October US President Donald Trump announced Washington would enact tariffs on the country – in addition to the 10 per cent already levied – and slash […]
Ones to Watch, 13 October 2025

Americas: Bolivia gears up for presidential runoff on 19 October Sectors: allKey Risks: policy uncertainty; political polarisation; governance In Bolivia, on 19 October voters will elect President Luis Arce’s successor in the run-off election, with the winner set to take office on 8 November. A recent IPSOS-Ciesmori poll showed right-wing former president Jorge ‘Tuto’ Quiroga […]
Ones to Watch, 6 October 2025

Americas: Four killed in US military strike on drug-smuggling vessel off the coast of Venezuela Sectors: allKey Risks: targeted attacks; regional escalation In Venezuela, on 3 October four people were killed in a US military strike against an alleged drug-smuggling vessel in the Caribbean sea off the country’s coast. This came after three US military […]
Ones to Watch, 29 September 2025

Americas: One protester killed, 12 soldiers injured in violent clashes in Ecuador Sectors: allKey Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes In Ecuador, on 28 September one protester was killed and 12 soldiers were injured in violent clashes during protests against the rise of fuel prices in Cotachi, Imambura province. Officials reported the 12 soldiers were injured […]
Ones to Watch, 22 September 2025

Americas: Thousands participate in anti-government protests for second day in Peru Sectors: allKey Risks: political stability; civil unrest; disruptive unrest; violent clashes In Peru, on 21 September thousands demonstrated in the second day of anti-government protests in the capital Lima. Violent protests – spearheaded by ‘Generation Z’ youth and various activist groups – erupted on […]
Ones to Watch, 15 September 2025

Americas: Contractors protest outside state oil firm Pemex’s facilities in Mexico Sectors: oil and gasKey Risks: business risks; business disruptions; industrial action In Mexico, on 9 September dozens of contractors from Veracruz and Oaxaca states – including suppliers and local construction companies – protested outside state-owned oil company Pemex’s facilities in the capital Mexico City, […]
Ones to Watch, 8 September 2025

Americas: Venezuelan government boosts troops amid rising tensions with Washington Sectors: allKey Risks: regional escalation; gang violence; government instability In Venezuela, on 7 September President Nicolas Maduro’s government ordered additional troops to tackle drug trafficking in coastal states – including the Guajira region of Zulia state and the Paraguana peninsula in Falcon state – as […]
Ones to Watch, 1 September 2025

Americas: Guyana heads into general elections amid oil boom Sectors: allKey Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political uncertainty In Guyana, on 1 September voters will cast ballots in general elections to decide whether President Irfaan Ali’s ruling People Progressive Party (PPP) will preserve its parliamentary majority – holding 33 out of 65 seats in the […]
Ones to Watch, 26 August 2025

Americas: 19 killed, at least 71 injured in dissident former FARC rebel attacks in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: targeted attacks; violent clashes In Colombia, on 21 August 19 people were killed and at least 71 were injured in two attacks, which President Gustavo Petro attributed to different dissident former FARC rebel factions. In Cali, […]
Ones to Watch, 18 August 2025

Americas: Centrist senator Paz leads presidential election, ending left-wing dominance in Bolivia Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; political uncertainty; governance; policy uncertainty In Bolivia, on 17 August early official results showed centrist senator Rodrigo Paz of the Christian Democratic Party leading the presidential election with 32.8 per cent. Conservative former president Jorge ‘Tuto’ Quiroga […]