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Ones to Watch, 21 September 2026

AKE International Risk Analysis

Americas: Congress approves US$1.9bln IMF loan amid warnings of renewed unrest in Bolivia Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; economic risks; policy uncertainty In Bolivia, on 18 September Congress approved a US$1.9bln IMF loan, clearing a key legislative hurdle for a three-year programme aimed at rebuilding depleted foreign reserves and stabilising the economy. […]

Ones to Watch, 14 September 2026

AKE International

Americas: Supreme Court dispute escalates ahead of 4 October elections in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; governance; political polarisation In Brazil, on 9 September Supreme Court Chief Justice Edson Fachin suspended rival rulings by Justices Flavio Dino and Andre Mendonca concerning the removal and reinstatement of Federal Police chief Andrei Rodrigues, seeking to […]

Ones to Watch, 7 September 2026

AKE International Risk Analysis

Americas: US expands counter-drone operations along Mexican border Sectors: all Key Risks: gang violence; targeted attacks In Mexico, on 7 September, the US military reported that it had downed 11 cartel-linked drones using laser systems along the US-Mexico border since deploying the technology on 27 August. More than 300 drones have been intercepted using kinetic […]

Ones to Watch, 1 September 2026

Americas: Venezuela agrees to agree long-term oil deal with US Sectors: all; oil & gas Key Risks: Policy uncertainty; regulatory changes; business risks; political stability In Venezuela, on 29 August interim President Delcy Rodriguez and US President Donald Trump agreed to a long-term framework for developing 17 oilfields containing around 65 billion barrels of proven […]

Ones to Watch, 24 August 2026

Americas: President Paz dismisses Economy Minister after pressure from Congress in Bolivia Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; economic risks; civil unrest In Bolivia, on 21 August President Rodrigo Paz dismissed Economy Minister Jose Gabriel Espinoza after Congress voted to censure him on 18 August, appointing Environment Minister Oscar Mario Justiniano Pinto as interim replacement. […]

Ones to Watch, 17 August 2026

Americas: Proposed central bank reform in Argentina to strengthen monetary discipline Sectors: all Key Risks: economic risks In Argentina, on 13 August Economy Minister Luis Caputo announced that banks would be allowed to lend up to 15 per cent of their dollar deposits to companies, supporting credit and investment as the government seeks to mobilise […]

Ones to Watch, 10 August 2026

Americas: Right-wing de la Espriella sworn in as president in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability In Colombia, on 7 August right-wing President Abelardo de la Espriella was sworn in, pledging to restore security, revive the oil and gas sector and reduce state spending. He ruled out further peace talks with armed groups, instead […]

Ones to Watch, 3 August 2026

Americas: US-backed political talks set to begin in Venezuela Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; political uncertainty In Venezuela, on 1 August the interim government and an opposition delegation announced plans to begin US-backed negotiations on political reforms, with talks expected to commence in Caracas in the coming days. National Assembly head Jorge Rodriguez will […]

Ones to Watch, 27 July 2026

Americas: Flavio Bolsonaro formally launches presidential bid ahead of October vote in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: political uncertainty; political polarisation; political stability In Brazil, on 25 July Senator Flavio Bolsonaro formally launched his presidential campaign at the Liberal Party convention in Sao Paulo, positioning himself as the political heir to his father, former president […]

Ones to Watch, 20 July 2026

Americas: Chile’s Senate passes President Kast’s comprehensive economic reform package Sectors: all Key Risks: economic risks; political stability; political polarisation; regulatory changes In Chile, on 16 July the Senate approved the core components of far-right President Jose Antonio Kast’s sweeping ‘National Reconstruction, Economic and Social Development’ bill following a 12-hour legislative session. The economic reform […]

Ones to Watch, 13 July 2026

Americas: Shield of the Americas backs Colombia’s presidential transition Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; political uncertainty; political polarisation; regional escalation On 11 June the 13-member Shield of the Americas alliance, established by the administration of US President Donald Trump in March 2026, reaffirmed its support for Colombia’s President-elect Abelardo de la Espriella and expressed concern over statements […]

Ones to Watch, 6 July 2026

AKE International Risk Analysis

Americas: Conservative Fujimori officially proclaimed president-elect after delays in Peru Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity; political polarisation; civil unrest In Peru, on 3 July the National Jury of Elections (JNE) officially proclaimed conservative candidate Keiko Fujimori president-elect after weeks of protests, fraud allegations and review of disputed ballots following a razor-thin election. […]

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