Ones to Watch
Americas: Venezuela agrees to agree long-term oil deal with US Sectors: all; oil & gas Key Risks: Policy uncertainty; regulatory changes; business risks; political stability In Venezuela, on 29 August interim President Delcy Rodriguez and US President Donald Trump agreed to a long-term framework for developing 17 oilfields containing around 65 billion barrels of proven […]
Americas: President Paz dismisses Economy Minister after pressure from Congress in Bolivia Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; economic risks; civil unrest In Bolivia, on 21 August President Rodrigo Paz dismissed Economy Minister Jose Gabriel Espinoza after Congress voted to censure him on 18 August, appointing Environment Minister Oscar Mario Justiniano Pinto as interim replacement. […]
Americas: Proposed central bank reform in Argentina to strengthen monetary discipline Sectors: all Key Risks: economic risks In Argentina, on 13 August Economy Minister Luis Caputo announced that banks would be allowed to lend up to 15 per cent of their dollar deposits to companies, supporting credit and investment as the government seeks to mobilise […]
Americas: Right-wing de la Espriella sworn in as president in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability In Colombia, on 7 August right-wing President Abelardo de la Espriella was sworn in, pledging to restore security, revive the oil and gas sector and reduce state spending. He ruled out further peace talks with armed groups, instead […]
Americas: US-backed political talks set to begin in Venezuela Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; political uncertainty In Venezuela, on 1 August the interim government and an opposition delegation announced plans to begin US-backed negotiations on political reforms, with talks expected to commence in Caracas in the coming days. National Assembly head Jorge Rodriguez will […]
Americas: Flavio Bolsonaro formally launches presidential bid ahead of October vote in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: political uncertainty; political polarisation; political stability In Brazil, on 25 July Senator Flavio Bolsonaro formally launched his presidential campaign at the Liberal Party convention in Sao Paulo, positioning himself as the political heir to his father, former president […]
Americas: Chile’s Senate passes President Kast’s comprehensive economic reform package Sectors: all Key Risks: economic risks; political stability; political polarisation; regulatory changes In Chile, on 16 July the Senate approved the core components of far-right President Jose Antonio Kast’s sweeping ‘National Reconstruction, Economic and Social Development’ bill following a 12-hour legislative session. The economic reform […]
Americas: Shield of the Americas backs Colombia’s presidential transition Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; political uncertainty; political polarisation; regional escalation On 11 June the 13-member Shield of the Americas alliance, established by the administration of US President Donald Trump in March 2026, reaffirmed its support for Colombia’s President-elect Abelardo de la Espriella and expressed concern over statements […]
Americas: Conservative Fujimori officially proclaimed president-elect after delays in Peru Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity; political polarisation; civil unrest In Peru, on 3 July the National Jury of Elections (JNE) officially proclaimed conservative candidate Keiko Fujimori president-elect after weeks of protests, fraud allegations and review of disputed ballots following a razor-thin election. […]
Americas: Looting and public anger grow after 24 June twin earthquakes in Venezuela Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; government instability In Venezuela, on 26 June widespread looting broke out across Catia La Mar and other parts of La Guaira state following twin earthquakes on 24 June. Crowds targeted supermarkets, pharmacies and other commercial premises, […]
Americas: Right-wing candidate De la Espriella narrowly wins presidential runoff in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; political polarisation; policy uncertainty In Colombia, on 21 June conservative candidate Abelardo de la Espriella won the presidential runoff after securing 49.65 per cent of the vote against left-wing candidate Ivan Cepeda’s 48.71 per cent, with a […]
Americas: Tren de Aragua leader killed in US-Venezuela joint strike in Venezuela’s Bolivar state Sectors: all Key Risks: gang violence; terrorism; regional escalation In Venezuela, on 13 June the US military jointly conducted an airstrike with local authorities that killed Hector Rusthenford Guerrero Flores, leader of the Venezuelan Tren de Aragua (TDA) organised crime group, […]
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