Ones to Watch
Americas: Right-wing populist Fernandez wins presidential election in Costa Rica Sectors: allKey Risks: policy continuity In Costa Rica, on 2 February right-wing populist Laura Fernandez of the Sovereign People’s Party won the 1 February presidential election with 48.3 per cent of the vote based on 94 per cent of ballots counted. Fernandez’s rival, Alvaro Ramos […]
Americas: US restricts visas for two Haitian transitional council members following PM ouster Sectors: allKey Risks: political stability; political uncertainty; gang violence; civil unrest; governability In Haiti, on 25 January Washington stated it was imposing visa restrictions and revoking visas for two members of the transitional presidential council and their immediate families due to their […]
Americas: Guatemala declares state of emergency after seven police officers killed in prison riots Sectors: allKey Risks: gang violence In Guatemala, on 18 January President Bernardo Arevalo’s government declared a nationwide 30-day state of emergency and retook control over two prisons and freed 34 guards. This came after at least seven police officers and one […]
Americas: Disputes between gangs to intensify after human heads found hanging in Ecuador Sectors: allKey Risks: violent clashes; gang violence In Ecuador, on 11 January five human heads were found hanging from ropes, with a warning sign next to them directed at alleged extortionists of fishermen, at a beach in the fishing port of Puerto […]
Americas: Acting president signals cooperation after US threatens further strikes in Venezuela Sectors: all; oil and gasKey Risks: Political stability; government instability; policy uncertainty; civil unrest; regional escalation In Venezuela, on 4 January acting president Delcy Rodriguez signalled a willingness to cooperate with Washington, prioritising “peace and dialogue”, though the legitimacy of her leadership is […]
Americas: Labour court orders 80 per cent workforce to stay in place in Petrobras strike in Brazil Sectors: oil and gas; allKey Risks: industrial action; business disruptions In Brazil, on 28 December a labour court ordered staffing levels to remain at 80 per cent at all Petrobras facilities amid salary negotiations among the state-run oil […]
Americas: Transport workers launch strike over fuel price hike in Bolivia Sectors: all; transportKey Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest In Bolivia, on 19 December transport workers launched a strike in response to a 100 per cent fuel price hike ordered by the new government, erecting blockades and shutting down public transportation, bringing La Paz and […]
Americas: Government declares SoE after at least five killed in string of attacks in Guatemala Sectors: allKey Risks: communal violence; violent clashes; gang violence In Guatemala, on 14 December President Bernardo Arevalo’s government declared a state of emergency (SoE) – limiting open-air meetings and public events – for 15 days in Nahuala and Santa Catarina […]
Americas: Five killed, 12 injured in VBIED attack in Mexico’s Michoacan state Sectors: all Key Risks: targeted attacks; gang violence In Mexico, on 6 December five people were killed – including three police officers – and 12 were injured in a VBIED attack outside a police station in Coahuayana, Michoacan state. This came after the […]
Americas: Preliminary results show Asfura leading in Honduran presidential elections Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability In Honduras, on 1 December preliminary results from 55 per cent of polling stations showed the conservative National Party’s Nasry Asfura leading with 40 per cent of the vote, ahead of the centrist Liberal Party’s Salvador Nasralla with 39.78 […]
Americas: US adds Venezuelan cartel to terror list, announces launch of new Venezuela phase Sectors: all Key Risks: regional escalation; regional conflict In Venezuela, on 24 November the US designated the Cartel de los Soles – which it asserts is linked to President Nicolas Maduro – a terrorist organisation. The move came after on 22 […]
Americas: 120 injured in clashes at Gen Z-led protest in Mexico City Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; violent clashes In Mexico, on 15 November 120 people – including 100 police officers – were injured and 20 were arrested after protesters attacked police with fireworks, stones, sticks and chains at a Gen Z-led […]
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