Ones to Watch, 13 July 2026

Americas: Shield of the Americas backs Colombia’s presidential transition Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; political uncertainty; political polarisation; regional escalation On 11 June the 13-member Shield of the Americas alliance, established by the administration of US President Donald Trump in March 2026, reaffirmed its support for Colombia’s President-elect Abelardo de la Espriella and expressed concern over statements […]
Ones to Watch, 6 July 2026

Americas: Conservative Fujimori officially proclaimed president-elect after delays in Peru Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity; political polarisation; civil unrest In Peru, on 3 July the National Jury of Elections (JNE) officially proclaimed conservative candidate Keiko Fujimori president-elect after weeks of protests, fraud allegations and review of disputed ballots following a razor-thin election. […]
Ones to Watch, 29 June 2026

Americas: Looting and public anger grow after 24 June twin earthquakes in Venezuela Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; government instability In Venezuela, on 26 June widespread looting broke out across Catia La Mar and other parts of La Guaira state following twin earthquakes on 24 June. Crowds targeted supermarkets, pharmacies and other commercial premises, […]
Ones to Watch, 22 June 2026

Americas: Right-wing candidate De la Espriella narrowly wins presidential runoff in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; political polarisation; policy uncertainty In Colombia, on 21 June conservative candidate Abelardo de la Espriella won the presidential runoff after securing 49.65 per cent of the vote against left-wing candidate Ivan Cepeda’s 48.71 per cent, with a […]
Ones to Watch, 15 June 2026

Americas: Tren de Aragua leader killed in US-Venezuela joint strike in Venezuela’s Bolivar state Sectors: all Key Risks: gang violence; terrorism; regional escalation In Venezuela, on 13 June the US military jointly conducted an airstrike with local authorities that killed Hector Rusthenford Guerrero Flores, leader of the Venezuelan Tren de Aragua (TDA) organised crime group, […]
Ones to Watch, 8 June 2026

Americas: Right-wing Abelardo De La Espriella wins first round of presidential race in Colombia Sectors: all Key Risks: political uncertainty; political polarisation; policy uncertainty In Colombia, on 7 June right-wing candidate Abelardo De La Espriella won the first round of the presidential election with 43.7 per cent of the vote, ahead of left-wing candidate Ivan […]
Ones to Watch, 1 June 2026

Americas: Voters to choose next president in closely contested 7 June runoff in Peru Sectors: all; miningKey Risks: political stability; policy uncertainty; political polarisation In Peru, on 7 June voters will head to the polls to elect the next president in a closely contested runoff. Two recent polls showed right-wing candidate Keiko Fujimori holding a […]
Ones to Watch, 26 May 2026

Americas: Insecurity and uncertainty rise ahead of 31 May presidential election in Colombia Sectors: allKey Risks: political violence; political uncertainty; targeted attacks; political polarisation In Colombia, on 23 May presidential candidates concluded campaigning ahead of the 31 May election, with polls indicating that no candidate is likely to win outright and that a polarising 21 […]
Ones to Watch, 18 May 2026

Americas: Disruptive anti-government protests persist in Bolivia Sectors: mining; allKey Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; violent clashes In Bolivia, on 16 May military and police forces clashed with demonstrators near La Paz while attempting to clear roadblocks set up during nationwide antigovernment protests. Around 3,500 security personnel were deployed for the operation. 57 arrests were […]
Ones to Watch, 11 May 2026

Americas: Government calls for early talks on Glencore’s Cerrejon coal mine closure in Colombia Sectors: miningKey Risks: frustration of process; business risks; policy uncertainty; regulatory changes In Colombia, on 8 May President Gustavo Petro’s government urged Glencore to begin talks with local authorities and community representatives in La Guajira over the potential future closure of […]
Ones to Watch, 5 May 2026

Americas: Mining protests trigger project suspension in the Dominican Republic Sectors: miningKey Risks: civil unrest; business risks; regulatory changes; policy uncertainty In the Dominican Republic, on 4 May President Luis Abinader ordered the suspension of all activity linked to Canadian GoldQuest Mining’s Romero gold and copper project in San Juan province. The suspension followed large-scale […]
Ones to Watch, 27 April 2026

Americas: 20 killed, 36 injured in explosive attack on bus in Colombia Sectors: allKey Risks: gang violence; targeted attacks In Colombia, on 25 April at least 20 people were killed and 36 were injured in an IED attack on a bus along the Pan-American Highway in Cajibio, Cauca department, in one of the deadliest recent […]