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Ones to Watch, 29 December 2025

Americas: Labour court orders 80 per cent workforce to stay in place in Petrobras strike in Brazil Sectors: oil and gas; allKey Risks: industrial action; business disruptions In Brazil, on 28 December a labour court ordered staffing levels to remain at 80 per cent at all Petrobras facilities amid salary negotiations among the state-run oil […]

Ones to Watch, 22 December 2025

Americas: Transport workers launch strike over fuel price hike in Bolivia Sectors: all; transportKey Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest In Bolivia, on 19 December transport workers launched a strike in response to a 100 per cent fuel price hike ordered by the new government, erecting blockades and shutting down public transportation, bringing La Paz and […]

Ones to Watch, 15 December 2025

Americas: Government declares SoE after at least five killed in string of attacks in Guatemala  Sectors: allKey Risks: communal violence; violent clashes; gang violence In Guatemala, on 14 December President Bernardo Arevalo’s government declared a state of emergency (SoE) – limiting open-air meetings and public events – for 15 days in Nahuala and Santa Catarina […]

Ones to Watch, 8 December 2025

Americas: Five killed, 12 injured in VBIED attack in Mexico’s Michoacan state Sectors: all Key Risks: targeted attacks; gang violence In Mexico, on 6 December five people were killed – including three police officers – and 12 were injured in a VBIED attack outside a police station in Coahuayana, Michoacan state. This came after the […]

Ones to Watch, 1 December 2025

Americas: Preliminary results show Asfura leading in Honduran presidential elections Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability In Honduras, on 1 December preliminary results from 55 per cent of polling stations showed the conservative National Party’s Nasry Asfura leading with 40 per cent of the vote, ahead of the centrist Liberal Party’s Salvador Nasralla with 39.78 […]

Ones to Watch, 24 November 2025

Americas: US adds Venezuelan cartel to terror list, announces launch of new Venezuela phase Sectors: all Key Risks: regional escalation; regional conflict  In Venezuela, on 24 November the US designated the Cartel de los Soles – which it asserts is linked to President Nicolas Maduro – a terrorist organisation. The move came after on 22 […]

Ones to Watch, 17 November 2025

Americas: 120 injured in clashes at Gen Z-led protest in Mexico City Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; violent clashes In Mexico, on 15 November 120 people – including 100 police officers – were injured and 20 were arrested after protesters attacked police with fireworks, stones, sticks and chains at a Gen Z-led […]

Ones to Watch, 10 November 2025

AKE International Risk Analysis

Americas: Chile to head to polls on 16 November for presidential election Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy uncertainty In Chile, on 16 November citizens will head to polling stations to vote in the presidential election – the first since 2012 in which voting is compulsory. On 27 October a Centro de Estudios Publicos […]

Ones to Watch, 3 November 2025

Americas: Hundreds protest deadly police raid in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest In Brazil, on 31 October hundreds of civilians – including labour unions and human rights groups – protested in the Penha favela complex in Rio de Janeiro. Protesters demanded an end to “military incursions” into the favelas, the resignation […]

Ones to Watch, 27 October 2025

Americas: Five killed in shooting attack in Ecuador amid escalating violence Sectors: all Key Risks: violent clashes; targeted attacks In Ecuador, on 24 October five people were killed and one person was injured in a shooting attack at a pool hall in Santo Domingo, Santo Domingo de los Tsachila province. Officials stated armed assailants broke […]

Ones to Watch, 20 October 2025

Americas: Washington announces tariffs on Colombia, end to US aid amid escalating tensions Sectors: all Key Risks: economic risks; trade disruptions; targeted attacks; regional escalation In Colombia, on 19 October US President Donald Trump announced Washington would enact tariffs on the country – in addition to the 10 per cent already levied – and slash […]

Ones to Watch, 13 October 2025

Americas: Bolivia gears up for presidential runoff on 19 October Sectors: allKey Risks: policy uncertainty; political polarisation; governance In Bolivia, on 19 October voters will elect President Luis Arce’s successor in the run-off election, with the winner set to take office on 8 November. A recent IPSOS-Ciesmori poll showed right-wing former president Jorge ‘Tuto’ Quiroga […]

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