Insights
Americas: Former president Bolsonaro’s supporters protest across Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political polarisation In Brazil, on 3 August former president Jair Bolsonaro’s supporters protested in several major cities against Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes and President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, demanding amnesty for those involved in the alleged January 2023 […]
Date first published: 24/07/2025 Key sectors: all; oil and gas Key risks: politic violence; violent clashes; economic risks; business risks; targeted attacks Risk development On 13 July the Cano Limon-Covenas Oil Pipeline was bombed by unidentified assailants in Saravena, Arauca department, prompting the suspension of pumping between oil fields in the northeast and the Caribbean […]
Americas: ELN launches third armed strike in Colombia’s Choco department Sectors: all Key Risks: violent clashes; business disruptions In Colombia, on 25 July the National Liberation Army (ELN) guerilla group launched a two-day armed strike – its third in 2025 – in Choco department, prompting a strengthening of military operations. This came as a response […]
Date first published: 22/07/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: business risks; business disruptions; trade disruptions; targeted attacks; kidnapping; cargo transport Risk development While global incidents of piracy and armed robbery against ships (ARAS) have generally declined in recent years, Southeast Asia has seen a marked resurgence since the beginning of 2025. The Straits of Malacca […]
Americas: Second anti-gentrification protest held in Mexico Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; looting; vandalism In Mexico, on 20 July around 100 protesters marched against gentrification and the rising cost of living in Mexico City. This came after on 4 July mass protests, including looting of at least dozen stores, erupted in various working-class neighborhoods […]
Americas: Bomb attack suspends pumping on Colombia’s Cano Limo-Covenas pipeline Sectors: all; oil Key Risks: business disruptions; targeted attacks; supply chain disruption In Colombia, on 13 July the Cano Limon-Covenas Oil Pipeline – carrying 210,000 barrels of oil per day along the northern border with Venezuela – was bombed by unidentified assailants in the rural […]
Date first published: 03/07/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: government instability; political instability; coup d’etat Risk development On 1 July Bangkok’s Constitutional Court suspended Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra from all duties pending an ethics violation case. The case covers the contents of her phone call with former Cambodian prime minister Hun Sen, intended to de-escalate tensions after the […]
Americas: Hundreds of informal miners protest, block copper routes in Peru Sectors: all; mining Key Risks: civil unrest, disruptive unrest; violent clashes; economic risks; business risks; business disruptions In Peru, on 4 July hundreds of informal miners blocked key copper routes used by major miners MMG, Glencore and Hudbay in Chumbivilcas province. The blockades are […]
Date first published: 01/07/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; political stability Risk development On 25 June at least 12 people were killed and 400 others injured in youth-led, nationwide protests across Kenya, marking the one-year anniversary of demonstrations opposing the controversial 2024 Finance Bill. Protesters took to the streets of urban centres […]
Americas: Ecuador’s security forces on alert for retaliatory violence following recapture of ‘Fito’ Sectors: all Key Risks: violent clashes; gang violence; targeted attacks In Ecuador, on 26 June the Interior Ministry stated that the armed forces were on “alert” for possible retaliatory violence following the 25 June recapture of Jose Adolfo Macias, alias ‘Fito’, the […]
Date first published: 24/06/2025 Key sectors: all Key risks: regional tensions; regional escalation; geopolitical tensions Risk development On 13 June Israel struck Tehran’s nuclear facilities, missile sites and military command centres in Tehran. The attack prompted an immediate Iranian response with ‘Operation True Promise III’. Rejecting US President Donald Trump’s calls for “unconditional surrender”, on […]
Americas: Panama’s government declares state of emergency in Bocas del Toro province Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; violent clashes; vandalism; looting In Panama, on 20 June the government declared a state of emergency (SoE) – suspending certain constitutional protections and banning public gatherings – in Bocas del Toro province until 25 June. […]
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