Insights
Americas: Further US sanctions against Venezuela expected Sectors: all Key Risks: non-payment; FX shortage; civil unrest; deadly violence; political instability In Venezuela, further US sanctions are expected following the controversial 30 July vote to elect a National Constituent Assembly (NCA) that will be tasked with rewriting the constitution, a move expected to further entrench President […]
Americas: Opposition to intensify protests ahead of controversial 30 July vote Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; deadly violence; political instability In Venezuela, the opposition announced plans to intensify demonstrations to demand early general elections and to protest against President Nicolas Maduro’s drive to rewrite the constitution. The move followed the 16 July […]
Americas: Senate to vote on controversial labour reform; Congress to vote on Temer’s trial Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; strikes; corruption fallout In Brazil, the Senate is expected to vote on the controversial government-backed labour reform bill on 11 July. A motion to fast-track the bill, which is part of President Michel […]
AKE Credit Risk Model – Probable Maximum Loss We’ve launched a Credit Risk Model to help clients assess the effect of political and economic shocks on the risk of corporate defaults and the dollar impact on an insurance or investment company’s assets. The Credit Probable Maximum Loss (PML) model helps leading credit risk underwriters to […]
Americas: Potential trial for Venezuela’s dissident Attorney General to continue to fuel unrest Sectors: allKey Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; political instability; looting In Venezuela, Attorney General Luisa Ortega Diaz is expected to face a hearing on 4 July that could lead to her being put on trial over ‘grave faults’ and ‘treason’. The government, […]
Americas: Former president Fernandez de Kirchner to run for Senate seat Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity In Argentina, former president Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner formally launched her bid for a Senate seat in the upcoming 22 October mid-term legislative elections. Her decision to create a new political party, Citizen Unity, that will […]
Americas: US partially rolls back policy changes towards Cuba Sectors: all Key Risks: economic; reduced foreign investment A new chapter in Cuba-US bilateral relations is set develop from this week onwards following US President Donald Trump’s decision to partially roll back policy changes towards the island implemented by the Obama administration. On 16 June Trump […]
Americas: Temer survives key threat to his presidency; more to come Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; corruption fallout On 9 June in Brazil, the Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE) voted 4-3 to acquit President Michel Temer and former president Dilma Rousseff of charges of illegally financing their 2014 campaign in a trial that […]
Americas: FARC disarmament could be further delayed; peace process unlikely to be derailed Sectors: all Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency; political stability In Colombia, FARC leader Rodrigo Londono stated he was considering postponing the FARC’s disarmament following the arrest of a rebel by government forces. The government stated there was an identity ‘confusion’ over the […]
Americas: embattled President Temer fights for survival Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; corruption fallout In Brazil, President Michel Temer appears determined to fight for his political survival after fresh bribery allegations made public on 17 May put his presidency at the verge of collapse. Since then, several impeachment requests have been filed […]
Americas: anti-government demonstrations to continue in Venezuela; high risk of violence Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; political instability; looting In Venezuela, anti-government demonstrations are expected to persist at least over the coming days as the opposition plans to continue to take to the streets to demand early presidential elections, the release of […]
AKE Senior Political Risk Analyst Max Hess spoke with BBC Radio 5 Live to discuss relations between Russia and the United Kingdom and between Russia and the United States. The interview is available on the BBC’s website at the following link, with the relevant portion beginning at 34:00.
To download this report, please enter your details below.