Americas: Calls grow to remove election chief as vote count drags on in Peru Sectors: allKey Risks: political stability; political uncertainty In Peru, on 17 April, calls intensified to remove electoral authority chief Piero Corvetto as delays and alleged irregularities continued to cloud the presidential vote count, with no clear second-place candidate emerging to face […]
Date first published: 14/042026 Key sectors: defence and security; energy; infrastructure Key risks: civil war; political impasse Risk development On 1 April satellite imagery revealed that at least three Chinese and Turkish unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), alongside ground control systems, had been deployed at Al Khadim Air Base near Benghazi between April and December 2025, […]
Americas: Peru general election results signal likely runoff on 7 June Sectors: allKey Risks: political stability; political uncertainty In Peru, on 12 April, official results from electoral body ONPE showed two conservative candidates, former congresswoman Keiko Fujimori and right-wing former Lima mayor Rafael Lopez Aliaga, leading with 17.17 per cent and 16.97 per cent, respectively, […]
Date first published: 31/03/2026 Key sectors: oil and gas Key risks: economic; fiscal stability; civil unrest Risk development On 30 March the pump price of petrol in the country rose roughly 67 per cent from NGN900 (US$0.65) to NGN1,400 (US$1.01) per litre since the start of the Middle East war. This followed a 23 March announcement […]
Americas: Rodriguez remains acting president in Venezuela after her 90-day appointment expired Sectors: allKey Risks: political stability; political uncertainty; governance In Venezuela, on 3 April, Delcy Rodriguez remained acting president, exceeding the 90-day limit on her interim role set following the 3 January removal of deposed president Nicolas Maduro. It remained unclear how long Rodriguez […]
Date first published: 26/03/2026 Key sectors: all; oil and gas Key risks: civil unrest; political uncertainty; economic risks; sanctions Risk development On 14 March protests against blackouts and food shortages in Moron, Ciego de Avila province, turned violent when protesters vandalised the Communist Party office and other state-run establishments in the area – including a […]
Americas: Violent clashes between gang and vigilante groups erupt in Haiti Sectors: allKey Risks: violent clashes; targeted attacks; gang violence In Haiti, on 29 March violent clashes erupted between the Gran Grif gang and vigilante groups in Petite-Riviere de l’Artibonite, Artibonite department, after the gang set houses on fire and left bodies scattered across the […]
Date first published: 24/03/2026 Key sectors: all; mining Key risks: corruption; gang violence; political uncertainty; business disruption Risk development On 18-19 March the South African Police Services (SAPS) and the South African National Defence Force (SANDF) conducted an operational scanning exercise for hotspots in criminal activity in Cape Town, Western Cape province, ahead of a […]
Americas: Cuba states its military readying for US aggression Sectors: allKey Risks: political stability; political uncertainty; regional escalation In Cuba, on 21 March Deputy Foreign Minister Carlos Fernandez de Cossio stated that the military was preparing for a potential US aggression, adding that it would be “naive” to ignore the possibility of conflict but that […]
Date first published: 12/03/2026 Key sectors: all; oil and gas Key risks: policy uncertainty; regulatory changes; governability; governance; business risks; business disruptions Risk development On 10 January Petronas – the country’s national oil company – filed a legal suit in Malaysia’s Federal Court over hydrocarbon resource ownership in Sarawak state – a resource-rich state on the […]
Americas: Protesters attack Communist Party office in Cuba amid blackouts, fuel shortages Sectors: allKey Risks: civil unrest; disruptive unrest; vandalism In Cuba, on 14 March protests against blackouts and food shortages in Moron, Ciego de Avila province, turned violent after some demonstrators vandalised the Communist Party office and other state-run establishments in the area – […]
Date first published: 05/03/2026 Key sectors: all Key risks: gang violence; violent clashes; disruptive unrest; business disruptions; targeted attacks Risk development On 22 February Nemesio Oseguera, alias “El Mencho”, leader of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG), died in custody after being injured in a United States (US)-assisted military operation in Tapalpa, Jalisco state. The […]
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