Americas: ELN and government to begin discussion on potential bilateral ceasefire Sectors: all Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency In Colombia, the left-wing ELN guerrillas and the government are scheduled to begin the third round of formal peace talks in Ecuador’s capital Quito on 24 July. In late June, both parties agreed to discuss a potential bilateral […]
Americas: Opposition to intensify protests ahead of controversial 30 July vote Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; deadly violence; political instability In Venezuela, the opposition announced plans to intensify demonstrations to demand early general elections and to protest against President Nicolas Maduro’s drive to rewrite the constitution. The move followed the 16 July […]
Americas: Senate to vote on controversial labour reform; Congress to vote on Temer’s trial Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; strikes; corruption fallout In Brazil, the Senate is expected to vote on the controversial government-backed labour reform bill on 11 July. A motion to fast-track the bill, which is part of President Michel […]
Americas: Potential trial for Venezuela’s dissident Attorney General to continue to fuel unrest Sectors: allKey Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; political instability; looting In Venezuela, Attorney General Luisa Ortega Diaz is expected to face a hearing on 4 July that could lead to her being put on trial over ‘grave faults’ and ‘treason’. The government, […]
Americas: Former president Fernandez de Kirchner to run for Senate seat Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity In Argentina, former president Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner formally launched her bid for a Senate seat in the upcoming 22 October mid-term legislative elections. Her decision to create a new political party, Citizen Unity, that will […]
Americas: US partially rolls back policy changes towards Cuba Sectors: all Key Risks: economic; reduced foreign investment A new chapter in Cuba-US bilateral relations is set develop from this week onwards following US President Donald Trump’s decision to partially roll back policy changes towards the island implemented by the Obama administration. On 16 June Trump […]
Americas: Temer survives key threat to his presidency; more to come Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; corruption fallout On 9 June in Brazil, the Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE) voted 4-3 to acquit President Michel Temer and former president Dilma Rousseff of charges of illegally financing their 2014 campaign in a trial that […]
Americas: FARC disarmament could be further delayed; peace process unlikely to be derailed Sectors: all Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency; political stability In Colombia, FARC leader Rodrigo Londono stated he was considering postponing the FARC’s disarmament following the arrest of a rebel by government forces. The government stated there was an identity ‘confusion’ over the […]
Americas: embattled President Temer fights for survival Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; corruption fallout In Brazil, President Michel Temer appears determined to fight for his political survival after fresh bribery allegations made public on 17 May put his presidency at the verge of collapse. Since then, several impeachment requests have been filed […]
Americas: disruption expected as teachers protests across Mexico Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; commercial damage; disruptive blockades In Mexico, teachers’ unions are expected to demonstrate in the capital Mexico City to protest a series of grievances during Teacher’s Day on 15 May. Government officials announced the deployment of around 2,500 police officers to monitor […]
Americas: anti-government demonstrations to continue in Venezuela; high risk of violence Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; political instability; looting In Venezuela, anti-government demonstrations are expected to persist at least over the coming days as the opposition plans to continue to take to the streets to demand early presidential elections, the release of […]
Americas: protests over Ecuadorian election continue while ELN peace talks under threat Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; terrorism; civil unrest On 7 April Ecuadorian police forces raided the headquarters of polling firm Cedatos. Cedatos’ exit poll for the 2 April presidential election, which showed a six-point advantage for losing opposition candidate Guillermo Lasso, has […]
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